Alexandre de Moraes remains firmly entrenched on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF), with traders pricing a 79% implied probability against his removal before term end, reflecting the steep constitutional barriers and lack of political momentum for impeachment. Recent Senate probes into his rulings on disinformation and social media blocks, including the X platform suspension, concluded without advancing ouster efforts, as the required two-thirds supermajority vote (41 senators) appears unattainable amid support from President Lula's coalition and centrists. No resignation signals or health issues have emerged in the past month, while Moraes continues issuing high-profile orders, such as upholding Bolsonaro's electoral ban, underscoring his institutional backing and neutralizing right-wing challenges that have failed to gain traction.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
$14,188 Vol.
$14,188 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Sí
$14,188 Vol.
$14,188 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Volumen
$14,188Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$14,188Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alexandre de Moraes remains firmly entrenched on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF), with traders pricing a 79% implied probability against his removal before term end, reflecting the steep constitutional barriers and lack of political momentum for impeachment. Recent Senate probes into his rulings on disinformation and social media blocks, including the X platform suspension, concluded without advancing ouster efforts, as the required two-thirds supermajority vote (41 senators) appears unattainable amid support from President Lula's coalition and centrists. No resignation signals or health issues have emerged in the past month, while Moraes continues issuing high-profile orders, such as upholding Bolsonaro's electoral ban, underscoring his institutional backing and neutralizing right-wing challenges that have failed to gain traction.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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