Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 25 hit 33°C at the Colvin Park station, driving unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for "33°C or below." This reflects typical late-March conditions in Uttar Pradesh, with dry continental air and light northerly winds suppressing highs amid pre-monsoon norms of 30-35°C. No heat dome, western disturbance, or urban heat amplification pushed readings higher, as verified by standard 1.5-meter shade measurements. With the daily bulletin released, resolution is all but certain; only an extraordinary data audit revision—unprecedented for routine max temps—could challenge it, though model forecasts had already implied low risk above 33°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 25. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 25. März?
33°C oder darunter 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$140,362 Vol.
$140,362 Vol.
33°C oder darunter
Ja
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C
Nein
37°C
Nein
38°C
Nein
39°C
Nein
40°C
Nein
41°C
Nein
42°C
Nein
43°C oder höher
Nein
33°C oder darunter 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$140,362 Vol.
$140,362 Vol.
33°C oder darunter
Ja
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C
Nein
37°C
Nein
38°C
Nein
39°C
Nein
40°C
Nein
41°C
Nein
42°C
Nein
43°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 25 hit 33°C at the Colvin Park station, driving unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for "33°C or below." This reflects typical late-March conditions in Uttar Pradesh, with dry continental air and light northerly winds suppressing highs amid pre-monsoon norms of 30-35°C. No heat dome, western disturbance, or urban heat amplification pushed readings higher, as verified by standard 1.5-meter shade measurements. With the daily bulletin released, resolution is all but certain; only an extraordinary data audit revision—unprecedented for routine max temps—could challenge it, though model forecasts had already implied low risk above 33°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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