Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 88-89°F as Dallas's highest temperature on March 20, with market-implied odds at 100%, propelled by the National Weather Service's point forecast of 89°F and convergence across GFS, ECMWF, and European model ensembles averaging 88-89°F under persistent high-pressure ridging and southerly winds. Verified soundings and recent radiosonde data confirm dry, stable air masses conducive to these highs, aligning with climatological norms for late March where daily maxima often peak in the upper 80s during El Niño winters. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold frontal passage—preceded by sharpening vorticity aloft—or abrupt cloud cover from upstream convection, though current 00Z model suites show negligible risk below 1%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 20. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Dallas am 20. März?
88-89°F 100.0%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$174,141 Vol.
$174,141 Vol.
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F oder höher
<1%
88-89°F 100.0%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$174,141 Vol.
$174,141 Vol.
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 88-89°F as Dallas's highest temperature on March 20, with market-implied odds at 100%, propelled by the National Weather Service's point forecast of 89°F and convergence across GFS, ECMWF, and European model ensembles averaging 88-89°F under persistent high-pressure ridging and southerly winds. Verified soundings and recent radiosonde data confirm dry, stable air masses conducive to these highs, aligning with climatological norms for late March where daily maxima often peak in the upper 80s during El Niño winters. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold frontal passage—preceded by sharpening vorticity aloft—or abrupt cloud cover from upstream convection, though current 00Z model suites show negligible risk below 1%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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