Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Chicago high temperature of 70-71°F on March 20, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on mild conditions under high pressure with light southerly winds boosting daytime heating to that exact range. Verified soundings and recent soundings confirm stable boundary layer conditions supporting this peak, aligning with observed March anomalies from a positive North Atlantic Oscillation phase. Historical data shows Chicago's March highs rarely exceed 72°F without stronger warm advection, making higher bins improbable barring an unforeseen cold frontal delay or intensified downslope flow, though model spread remains narrow at ±2°F.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chicago on March 20?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 20?
70-71°F 100.0%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$264,428 Vol.
$264,428 Vol.
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 100.0%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$264,428 Vol.
$264,428 Vol.
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Chicago high temperature of 70-71°F on March 20, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on mild conditions under high pressure with light southerly winds boosting daytime heating to that exact range. Verified soundings and recent soundings confirm stable boundary layer conditions supporting this peak, aligning with observed March anomalies from a positive North Atlantic Oscillation phase. Historical data shows Chicago's March highs rarely exceed 72°F without stronger warm advection, making higher bins improbable barring an unforeseen cold frontal delay or intensified downslope flow, though model spread remains narrow at ±2°F.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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