Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14 84%
February 10 6.1%
February 14 2.4%
February 11 2.4%
$45,900 Umsatz
$45,900 Umsatz
February 2
$3,804 Umsatz
<1%
February 2
$3,804 Umsatz
<1%
February 3
$1,642 Umsatz
1%
February 3
$1,642 Umsatz
1%
February 4
$1,103 Umsatz
<1%
February 4
$1,103 Umsatz
<1%
February 5
$1,120 Umsatz
1%
February 5
$1,120 Umsatz
1%
February 6
$945 Umsatz
1%
February 6
$945 Umsatz
1%
February 7
$1,351 Umsatz
2%
February 7
$1,351 Umsatz
2%
February 8
$1,145 Umsatz
1%
February 8
$1,145 Umsatz
1%
February 9
$938 Umsatz
2%
February 9
$938 Umsatz
2%
February 10
$1,254 Umsatz
6%
February 10
$1,254 Umsatz
6%
February 11
$1,064 Umsatz
2%
February 11
$1,064 Umsatz
2%
February 12
$1,323 Umsatz
1%
February 12
$1,323 Umsatz
1%
February 13
$1,045 Umsatz
2%
February 13
$1,045 Umsatz
2%
February 14
$1,388 Umsatz
2%
February 14
$1,388 Umsatz
2%
No release by February 14
$10,262 Umsatz
84%
No release by February 14
$10,262 Umsatz
84%
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Released before February 1" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "No release by February 14" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Erstellt am: Jan 28, 2026, 10:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ergebnis vorgeschlagen: No
Kein Widerspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14 84%
February 10 6.1%
February 14 2.4%
February 11 2.4%
$45,900 Umsatz
$45,900 Umsatz
February 2
<1%
February 3
1%
February 4
<1%
February 5
1%
February 6
1%
February 7
2%
February 8
1%
February 9
2%
February 10
6%
February 11
2%
February 12
1%
February 13
2%
February 14
2%
No release by February 14
84%
Über
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorsicht vor externen Links.
Vorsicht vor externen Links.
Vorsicht vor externen Links.
Vorsicht vor externen Links.