Market icon

Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?

Market icon

Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?

Ended: Feb 14

Ended: Feb 14

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 14. Februar 100.0%

Vor dem 1. Februar veröffentlicht <1%

1. Februar <1%

2. Februar <1%

Polymarket

$220,405 Vol.

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 14. Februar 100.0%

Vor dem 1. Februar veröffentlicht <1%

1. Februar <1%

2. Februar <1%

Polymarket

$220,405 Vol.

Vor dem 1. Februar veröffentlicht

$13,728 Vol.

Nein

1. Februar

$3,788 Vol.

Nein

2. Februar

$13,082 Vol.

Nein

3. Februar

$14,376 Vol.

Nein

4. Februar

$4,834 Vol.

Nein

5. Februar

$11,529 Vol.

Nein

6. Februar

$11,831 Vol.

Nein

7. Februar

$20,318 Vol.

Nein

8. Februar

$7,485 Vol.

Nein

9. Februar

$9,898 Vol.

Nein

10. Februar

$9,790 Vol.

Nein

11. Februar

$6,528 Vol.

Nein

12. Februar

$18,143 Vol.

Nein

13. Februar

$18,673 Vol.

Nein

14. Februar

$14,330 Vol.

Nein

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 14. Februar

$42,071 Vol.

Ja

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.

This market will resolve to "Released before February 1" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "No release by February 14" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.

Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$220,405
Enddatum
Feb 14, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:23 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "Released before February 1" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "No release by February 14" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 14. Februar" at 100%, followed by "Vor dem 1. Februar veröffentlicht" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?" has generated $220.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?" is "Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 14. Februar" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vor dem 1. Februar veröffentlicht" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.