Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14 31%
Released before February 1 7.6%
February 3 8%
February 5 7%
Released before February 1
$449 Umsatz
8%
Released before February 1
$449 Umsatz
8%
February 1
$556 Umsatz
5%
February 1
$556 Umsatz
5%
February 2
$389 Umsatz
6%
February 2
$389 Umsatz
6%
February 3
$377 Umsatz
8%
February 3
$377 Umsatz
8%
February 4
$368 Umsatz
6%
February 4
$368 Umsatz
6%
February 5
$456 Umsatz
7%
February 5
$456 Umsatz
7%
February 6
$417 Umsatz
4%
February 6
$417 Umsatz
4%
February 7
$403 Umsatz
6%
February 7
$403 Umsatz
6%
February 8
$397 Umsatz
6%
February 8
$397 Umsatz
6%
February 9
$383 Umsatz
6%
February 9
$383 Umsatz
6%
February 10
$377 Umsatz
6%
February 10
$377 Umsatz
6%
February 11
$383 Umsatz
6%
February 11
$383 Umsatz
6%
February 12
$467 Umsatz
3%
February 12
$467 Umsatz
3%
February 13
$419 Umsatz
6%
February 13
$419 Umsatz
6%
February 14
$380 Umsatz
5%
February 14
$380 Umsatz
5%
No release by February 14
$1,536 Umsatz
31%
No release by February 14
$1,536 Umsatz
31%
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Released before February 1" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "No release by February 14" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Erstellt am: Jan 28, 2026, 10:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14 31%
Released before February 1 7.6%
February 3 8%
February 5 7%
Released before February 1
8%
February 1
5%
February 2
6%
February 3
8%
February 4
6%
February 5
7%
February 6
4%
February 7
6%
February 8
6%
February 9
6%
February 10
6%
February 11
6%
February 12
3%
February 13
6%
February 14
5%
No release by February 14
31%
Über
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorsicht vor externen Links.
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