Fed decision in March?

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

$94m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...?

February 20

Yes8%No92%

February 28

17%

Yes17%No83%

February 20

Yes8%No92%

February 28

17%

Yes17%No83%

$237m Vol.

BTC 5 Minute Up or Down

50%

Down

Live

What price will Bitcoin hit in February?

↑ 80,000

14%

Yes14%No86%

↑ 75,000

34%

Yes34%No66%

↑ 80,000

14%

Yes14%No86%

↑ 75,000

34%

Yes34%No66%

$51m Vol.

Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)

80%

Yes80%No20%

Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI)

20%

Yes20%No80%

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)

80%

Yes80%No20%

Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI)

20%

Yes20%No80%

$2m Vol.

Spurs

50%

Warriors

51%

Spurs

Warriors

Q2 - 08:15

$6m Vol.

•NBA

112

Thunder

100%

Suns

Thunder

Suns

End Q3

$3m Vol.

•NBA

2026 Winter Olympics: Most Gold Medals

Norway

93%

Yes93%No7%

United States

Yes7%No93%

Norway

93%

Yes93%No7%

United States

Yes7%No93%

$8m Vol.

Starmer out by...?

February 28

Yes5%No95%

March 31

13%

Yes13%No87%

February 28

Yes5%No95%

March 31

13%

Yes13%No87%

$6m Vol.

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?

77%

Down

NEW

•

$11k Vol.

Another US government shutdown by February 14?

83%

chance

Yes

$2m Vol.

NFL Champion 2027

Seattle Seahawks

12%

Yes12%No88%

Los Angeles Rams

Yes9%No91%

Seattle Seahawks

12%

Yes12%No88%

Los Angeles Rams

Yes9%No91%

$826k Vol.

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

10%

chance

Yes

$410k Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

Anthropic

68%

Yes68%No32%

Google

26%

Yes26%No74%

Anthropic

68%

Yes68%No32%

Google

26%

Yes26%No74%

$7m Vol.

# of views on Bad Bunny halftime show (YouTube) in week 1?

<50M

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

75-100M

57%

Yes57%No43%

<50M

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

75-100M

57%

Yes57%No43%

$1m Vol.

Claude 5 released by…?

February 14, 2026

February 28, 2026

February 14, 2026

February 28, 2026

$1m Vol.

Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market™

Fed decision in March?

US strikes Iran by...?

BTC 5 Minute Up or Down

What price will Bitcoin hit in February?

Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner

2026 Winter Olympics: Most Gold Medals

Starmer out by...?

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?

Another US government shutdown by February 14?

NFL Champion 2027

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

# of views on Bad Bunny halftime show (YouTube) in week 1?

Claude 5 released by…?