Fed Decision in September?

Politics·Fomc

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

20%

25 bps increase

80%

50+ bps increase

JohnA

No matter the result, its an honor to gamble with you fellow degens

Secondary-Mosque

Just added more 😁😁

negoossppe

camel finance if you fucked this up its on you

Polken

wasup from camel crew

NotNiels

First Polymarket bet, Camels, UNITE! (entertainment purposes only)

JohnA

No matter the result, its an honor to gamble with you fellow degens

Secondary-Mosque

Just added more 😁😁

negoossppe

camel finance if you fucked this up its on you

Polken

wasup from camel crew

NotNiels

First Polymarket bet, Camels, UNITE! (entertainment purposes only)

JohnA

No matter the result, its an honor to gamble with you fellow degens

Secondary-Mosque

Just added more 😁😁

negoossppe

camel finance if you fucked this up its on you

Polken

wasup from camel crew

NotNiels

First Polymarket bet, Camels, UNITE! (entertainment purposes only)

25 bps increase 80%

No change 20%

50+ bps increase 1.0%

25 bps decrease <1%

$124M Vol

Monthly

Howard vs. Indiana

Sports·Football·College Football

Howard vs. Indiana

Sports·Football·College Football

Spread

Total

Spread

Total

4:00 PMSeptember 12

$318K Vol

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

↑ $105

↓ $95

↓ $90

↓ $85

Oil ends week higher on renewed US-Iran strikes, diesel hits record

Energy

Tight Supply Worries Lift Oil As Middle East Conflict Heats Up

AP News

・

US strikes 3 Iranian oil tankers after saying warships were targeted with ballistic missiles

Reuters

・

Oil ends week higher on renewed US-Iran strikes, diesel hits record

Energy

Tight Supply Worries Lift Oil As Middle East Conflict Heats Up

AP News

・

US strikes 3 Iranian oil tankers after saying warships were targeted with ballistic missiles

Reuters

・

Oil ends week higher on renewed US-Iran strikes, diesel hits record

Energy

Tight Supply Worries Lift Oil As Middle East Conflict Heats Up

AP News

・

US strikes 3 Iranian oil tankers after saying warships were targeted with ballistic missiles

↓ $95 82%

↓ $90 58.5%

↑ $105 57.2%

↓ $85 31%

$3M Vol

Monthly

Bitcoin Up or Down

September 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down

September 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Up3.28x Down1.44x

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Blue31

Waiting for 1min market

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Blue31

Waiting for 1min market

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Blue31

Waiting for 1min market

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

$0 Vol

Live

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Politics·US Election

Democrats Sweep

50%

D Senate, R House

R Senate, D House

Republicans Sweep

Election Officials Grapple With Uncertainty as Supreme Court Considers Mail Ballot Plan

bloomberg.com

・

Trump Headlines Texas Convention to Tap Donors, Rally Voters

The Washington Post

・

Analysis | How Canada, with elbows up, could hurt Trump in the midterms

AP News

・

Midterm mail ballots start to go to voters as litigation over Trump’s order creates uncertainty

Reuters

・

US Treasury chief Bessent backs using US financial power as foreign policy tool

The New York Times

・

Election Officials Grapple With Uncertainty as Supreme Court Considers Mail Ballot Plan

bloomberg.com

・

Trump Headlines Texas Convention to Tap Donors, Rally Voters

The Washington Post

・

Analysis | How Canada, with elbows up, could hurt Trump in the midterms

AP News

・

Midterm mail ballots start to go to voters as litigation over Trump’s order creates uncertainty

Reuters

・

US Treasury chief Bessent backs using US financial power as foreign policy tool

The New York Times

・

Election Officials Grapple With Uncertainty as Supreme Court Considers Mail Ballot Plan

bloomberg.com

・

Trump Headlines Texas Convention to Tap Donors, Rally Voters

The Washington Post

・

Analysis | How Canada, with elbows up, could hurt Trump in the midterms

AP News

・

Midterm mail ballots start to go to voters as litigation over Trump’s order creates uncertainty

Reuters

・

US Treasury chief Bessent backs using US financial power as foreign policy tool

Democrats Sweep 50%

R Senate, D House 36%

Republicans Sweep 13%

D Senate, R House 1.6%

$12M Vol

Ends Nov 3, 2026·

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Sports·NFL

Los Angeles Rams

14%

Buffalo Bills

Seattle Seahawks

Baltimore Ravens

The New York Times

・

Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2027 candidates: Adrian Peterson, Rob Gronkowski lead way - The Athletic

BBC

・

NFL 2026 schedule & key fixtures: Start date, play-offs, Super Bowl 61 & Christmas games

AP News

・

Ryder Cup points for Americans only available in 2027 under new qualifying criteria

WSJ

・

Google to Invest $15 Billion in AI Infrastructure in Finland

Reuters

・

Liverpool announce five-year sponsorship deal with Turkish Airlines

The New York Times

・

Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2027 candidates: Adrian Peterson, Rob Gronkowski lead way - The Athletic

BBC

・

NFL 2026 schedule & key fixtures: Start date, play-offs, Super Bowl 61 & Christmas games

AP News

・

Ryder Cup points for Americans only available in 2027 under new qualifying criteria

WSJ

・

Google to Invest $15 Billion in AI Infrastructure in Finland

Reuters

・

Liverpool announce five-year sponsorship deal with Turkish Airlines

The New York Times

・

Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2027 candidates: Adrian Peterson, Rob Gronkowski lead way - The Athletic

BBC

・

NFL 2026 schedule & key fixtures: Start date, play-offs, Super Bowl 61 & Christmas games

AP News

・

Ryder Cup points for Americans only available in 2027 under new qualifying criteria

WSJ

・

Google to Invest $15 Billion in AI Infrastructure in Finland

Reuters

・

Liverpool announce five-year sponsorship deal with Turkish Airlines

Los Angeles Rams 15%

Buffalo Bills 9%

Seattle Seahawks 8%

Baltimore Ravens 6.3%

$52M Vol

Ends Feb 14, 2027·

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

September 21

September 30

October 31

December 31

Iran warns US energy assets in Gulf are vulnerable after latest clashes

The Washington Post

・

Trump accuses Iran of meddling in midterms as wave of missiles targets U.S. base in Jordan

The New York Times

・

Iran Signals Readiness to Escalate Fight in Face of Rising U.S. Pressure

WSJ

・

Exclusive | Trump’s Top Advisers Confront Possibility That Iran War Lasts Through End of Term

AP News

・

Iran says it plans to announce a new ‘exclusion zone’ near the Strait of Hormuz

Reuters

・

Iran warns US energy assets in Gulf are vulnerable after latest clashes

The Washington Post

・

Trump accuses Iran of meddling in midterms as wave of missiles targets U.S. base in Jordan

The New York Times

・

Iran Signals Readiness to Escalate Fight in Face of Rising U.S. Pressure

WSJ

・

Exclusive | Trump’s Top Advisers Confront Possibility That Iran War Lasts Through End of Term

AP News

・

Iran says it plans to announce a new ‘exclusion zone’ near the Strait of Hormuz

Reuters

・

Iran warns US energy assets in Gulf are vulnerable after latest clashes

The Washington Post

・

Trump accuses Iran of meddling in midterms as wave of missiles targets U.S. base in Jordan

The New York Times

・

Iran Signals Readiness to Escalate Fight in Face of Rising U.S. Pressure

WSJ

・

Exclusive | Trump’s Top Advisers Confront Possibility That Iran War Lasts Through End of Term

AP News

・

Iran says it plans to announce a new ‘exclusion zone’ near the Strait of Hormuz

December 31 63.7%

October 31 36%

September 30 20%

September 21 11%

$28M Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2027·

All markets

Fed Decision in September?

25 bps increase

80%

Yes80%No21%

No change

20%

Yes20%No81%

25 bps increase

80%

Yes80%No21%

No change

20%

Yes20%No81%

$124M Vol.

BTC Up or Down 5m

88%

Down

Live

·Bitcoin

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Alexander Zverev

51%

Yes51%No49%

Ben Shelton

36%

Yes36%No64%

Alexander Zverev

51%

Yes51%No49%

Ben Shelton

36%

Yes36%No64%

$25M Vol.

1WIN

39%

Nemiga

62%

1WIN

Nemiga

Game 1

$749K Vol.

·CS2

3DMAX

35%

100 Thieves

66%

3DMAX

100 Thieves

Game 1

$385K Vol.

·CS2

Rennes

48%

Marseille

28%

Rennes

DRAW

Marseille

$799K Vol.

·Ligue 1

A. Zverev

81%

K. Khachanov

20%

A. Zverev

K. Khac.

$694K Vol.

·ATP Tour

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 31

26%

Yes26%No74%

October 31

20%

Yes20%No81%

December 31

26%

Yes26%No74%

October 31

20%

Yes20%No81%

$13M Vol.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.0%

80%

Yes80%No21%

5.1%

75%

Yes75%No26%

5.0%

80%

Yes80%No21%

5.1%

75%

Yes75%No26%

$376K Vol.

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

December 31, 2026

11%

Yes11%No90%

November 2, 2026

Yes7%No94%

December 31, 2026

11%

Yes11%No90%

November 2, 2026

Yes7%No94%

$11K Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 2027

70%

Yes70%No31%

November 30, 2027

67%

Yes67%No33%

December 31, 2027

70%

Yes70%No31%

November 30, 2027

67%

Yes67%No33%

$8M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Anthropic

89%

Yes89%No12%

OpenAI

Yes9%No91%

Anthropic

89%

Yes89%No12%

OpenAI

Yes9%No91%

$3M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson

71%

Yes71%No29%

Ulf Kristersson

30%

Yes30%No71%

Magdalena Andersson

71%

Yes71%No29%

Ulf Kristersson

30%

Yes30%No71%

$5M Vol.

Anthropic IPO by __?

December 31, 2026

90%

Yes90%No11%

December 15, 2026

86%

Yes86%No15%

December 31, 2026

90%

Yes90%No11%

December 15, 2026

86%

Yes86%No15%

$3M Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 31

64%

Yes64%No36%

October 31

36%

Yes36%No65%

December 31

64%

Yes64%No36%

October 31

36%

Yes36%No65%

$28M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

56%

Yes56%No44%

Benjamin Netanyahu

29%

Yes29%No72%

Gadi Eizenkot

56%

Yes56%No44%

Benjamin Netanyahu

29%

Yes29%No72%

$37M Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

50%

Yes50%No51%

R Senate, D House

36%

Yes36%No65%

Democrats Sweep

50%

Yes50%No51%

R Senate, D House

36%

Yes36%No65%

$12M Vol.

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

23%

Yes23%No77%

Scott Jennings

17%

Yes17%No83%

Anna Kelly

23%

Yes23%No77%

Scott Jennings

17%

Yes17%No83%

$400K Vol.

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

December 31, 2027

19%

Yes19%No82%

December 31, 2026

Yes5%No95%

December 31, 2027

19%

Yes19%No82%

December 31, 2026

Yes5%No95%

$604K Vol.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31

23%

Yes23%No77%

October 31

Yes8%No92%

December 31

23%

Yes23%No77%

October 31

Yes8%No92%

$7M Vol.

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

19%

chance

Yes

$15M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

53%

Yes53%No48%

Republican Party

49%

Yes49%No52%

Democratic Party

53%

Yes53%No48%

Republican Party

49%

Yes49%No52%

$4M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

50%

Yes50%No50%

Marco Rubio

19%

Yes19%No81%

J.D. Vance

50%

Yes50%No50%

Marco Rubio

19%

Yes19%No81%

$703M Vol.

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

March 31, 2027

56%

Yes56%No44%

December 31, 2026

38%

Yes38%No63%

March 31, 2027

56%

Yes56%No44%

December 31, 2026

38%

Yes38%No63%

$11M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%

chance

Yes

$66M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

19%

Yes19%No81%

Jon Ossoff

16%

Yes16%No84%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

19%

Yes19%No81%

Jon Ossoff

16%

Yes16%No84%

$1B Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?

70,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

72,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

70,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

72,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$2M Vol.

·Bitcoin

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

34%

Yes34%No66%

Édouard Philippe

29%

Yes29%No72%

Marine Le Pen

34%

Yes34%No66%

Édouard Philippe

29%

Yes29%No72%

$132M Vol.

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona

19%

Yes19%No82%

Bayern Munich

16%

Yes16%No85%

Barcelona

19%

Yes19%No82%

Bayern Munich

16%

Yes16%No85%

$32M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?

160-179

80%

Yes80%No20%

180-199

19%

Yes19%No82%

160-179

80%

Yes80%No20%

180-199

19%

Yes19%No82%

$3M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

53%

Yes53%No47%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

45%

Yes45%No56%

Flávio Bolsonaro

53%

Yes53%No47%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

45%

Yes45%No56%

$148M Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 75,000

79%

Yes79%No21%

↑ 85,000

67%

Yes67%No33%

↓ 75,000

79%

Yes79%No21%

↑ 85,000

67%

Yes67%No33%

$65M Vol.

·Bitcoin

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

↓ $95

82%

Yes82%No18%

↓ $90

58%

Yes58%No42%

↓ $95

82%

Yes82%No18%

↓ $90

58%

Yes58%No42%

$3M Vol.

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)

78%

Yes78%No22%

New People (NL)

17%

Yes17%No83%

United Russia (ER)

78%

Yes78%No22%

New People (NL)

17%

Yes17%No83%

$27M Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in September?

↑ 80,000

81%

Yes81%No19%

↓ 75,000

55%

Yes55%No45%

↑ 80,000

81%

Yes81%No19%

↓ 75,000

55%

Yes55%No45%

$5M Vol.

·Bitcoin

Ethereum above ___ on September 11?

2,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

2,100

100%

Yes100%No<1%

2,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

2,100

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$527K Vol.

·Ethereum

Polymarket | The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

Featured markets

All markets

Fed Decision in September?

BTC Up or Down 5m

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Anthropic IPO by __?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?

Next French Presidential Election

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?

Brazil Presidential Election

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

What price will Bitcoin hit in September?

Ethereum above ___ on September 11?