Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

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Who will be named in newly released Epstein files? card icon

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ehud Barak

62%

Tony Blair

53%

Ehud Barak

62%

Tony Blair

53%

$2m Vol.

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1? card icon

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

30–35M

3%

35–40M

77%

30–35M

3%

35–40M

77%

$1m Vol.

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TikTok sale announced by...? card icon

TikTok sale announced by...?

December 31

79%

March 31

96%

December 31

79%

March 31

96%

$6m Vol.

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Elon Musk # tweets December 16 - December 23, 2025? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 16 - December 23, 2025?

300-319

10%

320-339

22%

300-319

10%

320-339

22%

$13m Vol.

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Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

55%

Kevin Warsh

21%

Kevin Hassett

55%

Kevin Warsh

21%

$73m Vol.

Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

3%

January 31, 2026

12%

December 31, 2025

3%

January 31, 2026

12%

$29m Vol.

NFC West Winner card icon

NFC West Winner

Seattle

55%

Los Angeles R

24%

Seattle

55%

Los Angeles R

24%

$2m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

20%

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

20%

$44m Vol.

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How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025? card icon

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

<7.9B

<1%

8.1 - 8.2B

1%

<7.9B

<1%

8.1 - 8.2B

1%

$944k Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 23

2%

December 31

10%

December 23

2%

December 31

10%

$41m Vol.

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? card icon

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

83%

>$2B

77%

>$1B

83%

>$2B

77%

$31m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

19%

Pam Bondi

16%

Kristi Noem

19%

Pam Bondi

16%

$394k Vol.

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Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...? card icon

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?

December 31

31%

January 31

68%

December 31

31%

January 31

68%

$801k Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

2%

chance

$61m Vol.

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2026 FIFA World Cup Winner card icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain

15%

England

13%

Spain

15%

England

13%

$27m Vol.

Highest grossing movie in 2025? card icon

Highest grossing movie in 2025?

A Minecraft Movie

99%

Avatar 3

<1%

A Minecraft Movie

99%

Avatar 3

<1%

$111m Vol.

2nd Largest company end of 2025? card icon

2nd Largest company end of 2025?

Apple

96%

NVIDIA

2%

Apple

96%

NVIDIA

2%

$4m Vol.

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