Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

18%

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

18%

$48m Vol.

Will Trump release more Epstein files by...?

December 22

58%

December 26

70%

December 22

58%

December 26

70%

$464k Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

54%

Marco Rubio

J.D. Vance

54%

Marco Rubio

$131m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Los Angeles R

16%

Seattle

13%

Los Angeles R

16%

Seattle

13%

$630m Vol.

FC Alverca

FC Porto

74%

$501k Vol.

•POR• 6:45 PM

Cougars

49%

Aggies

52%

$843k Vol.

•CFB• 7:00 PM

49ers

68%

Colts

33%

$858k Vol.

•NFL•Tomorrow 1:15 AM

Fulham

39%

Forest

34%

$439k Vol.

•EPL• 8:00 PM

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

January 31, 2026

16%

December 31, 2025

January 31, 2026

16%

$31m Vol.

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ehud Barak

38%

Tony Blair

13%

Ehud Barak

38%

Tony Blair

13%

$2m Vol.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 22?

99%

$58k Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets December 16 - December 23, 2025?

320-339

340-359

38%

320-339

340-359

38%

$18m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

59%

Kevin Warsh

19%

Kevin Hassett

59%

Kevin Warsh

19%

$77m Vol.

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by...?

December 23

34%

December 26

59%

December 23

34%

December 26

59%

$167k Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

30%

chance

$251k Vol.

Epstein client list released in 2025?

chance

$857k Vol.

NFC West Winner

Seattle

56%

Los Angeles R

25%

Seattle

56%

Los Angeles R

25%

$2m Vol.

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

26%

chance

$224k Vol.

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain

15%

England

13%

Spain

15%

England

13%

$29m Vol.

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

8 - 8.1B

8.1 - 8.2B

8 - 8.1B

8.1 - 8.2B

$1m Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

48%

Flávio Bolsonaro

18%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

48%

Flávio Bolsonaro

18%

$9m Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 23

December 31

December 23

December 31

$42m Vol.

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

86%

>$2B

84%

>$1B

86%

>$2B

84%

$34m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

21%

Pam Bondi

16%

Kristi Noem

21%

Pam Bondi

16%

$415k Vol.

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