Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Will Trump release Epstein files by...? card icon

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

December 19

90%

December 20

94%

December 19

90%

December 20

94%

$13m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

21%

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

21%

$41m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

55%

Kevin Warsh

21%

Kevin Hassett

55%

Kevin Warsh

21%

$72m Vol.

Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua card icon

Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Jake Paul

11%

Anthony Joshua

87%

Jake Paul

11%

Anthony Joshua

87%

$17m Vol.

NFC West Winner card icon

NFC West Winner

Seattle

54%

Los Angeles R

26%

Seattle

54%

Los Angeles R

26%

$2m Vol.

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files? card icon

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ehud Barak

45%

David Copperfield

45%

Ehud Barak

45%

David Copperfield

45%

$1m Vol.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 19? card icon

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 19?

86%

Up

$6k Vol.

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor card icon

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

83%

Tate

$702k Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets December 12 - December 19, 2025? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 12 - December 19, 2025?

140-159

<1%

160-179

<1%

140-159

<1%

160-179

<1%

$32m Vol.

TikTok sale announced by...? card icon

TikTok sale announced by...?

December 31

76%

March 31

96%

December 31

76%

March 31

96%

$6m Vol.

Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

4%

January 31, 2026

18%

December 31, 2025

4%

January 31, 2026

18%

$28m Vol.

Weed rescheduled in 2025? card icon

Weed rescheduled in 2025?

2%

chance

$3m Vol.

Epstein client list released in 2025? card icon

Epstein client list released in 2025?

6%

chance

$551k Vol.

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? card icon

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

26%

chance

$176k Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election card icon

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

47%

Tarcisio de Freitas

19%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

47%

Tarcisio de Freitas

19%

$9m Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 23

7%

December 31

14%

December 23

7%

December 31

14%

$41m Vol.

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025? card icon

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

<7.9B

1%

8.1 - 8.2B

1%

<7.9B

1%

8.1 - 8.2B

1%

$751k Vol.

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? card icon

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

69%

>$2B

59%

>$1B

69%

>$2B

59%

$29m Vol.

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? card icon

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

28%

chance

$365k Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

19%

Pete Hegseth

17%

Kristi Noem

19%

Pete Hegseth

17%

$337k Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on December 19? card icon

Bitcoin above ___ on December 19?

80,000

100%

82,000

100%

80,000

100%

82,000

100%

$3m Vol.

Highest grossing movie in 2025? card icon

Highest grossing movie in 2025?

A Minecraft Movie

98%

Avatar 3

2%

A Minecraft Movie

98%

Avatar 3

2%

$109m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

71%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

15%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

71%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

15%

$77m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

53%

Marco Rubio

9%

J.D. Vance

53%

Marco Rubio

9%

$127m Vol.

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