Trader consensus favors "No" at 87.5% implied probability for Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of China's Central Military Commission, receiving a prison sentence before 2027, driven by the absence of trial or sentencing updates since his January 24, 2026, purge announcement for "serious violations of discipline." This followed Xi Jinping's intensifying anti-corruption campaign in the People's Liberation Army, with Zhang last seen publicly on December 22, 2025, and absent from the March 2026 Two Sessions. Opaque Chinese Communist Party disciplinary processes often resolve high-level cases via expulsion or house arrest without public criminal convictions, explaining the sustained low odds on formal imprisonment amid no further developments two months on.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$90,886 交易量
$90,886 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
是
$90,886 交易量
$90,886 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 87.5% implied probability for Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of China's Central Military Commission, receiving a prison sentence before 2027, driven by the absence of trial or sentencing updates since his January 24, 2026, purge announcement for "serious violations of discipline." This followed Xi Jinping's intensifying anti-corruption campaign in the People's Liberation Army, with Zhang last seen publicly on December 22, 2025, and absent from the March 2026 Two Sessions. Opaque Chinese Communist Party disciplinary processes often resolve high-level cases via expulsion or house arrest without public criminal convictions, explaining the sustained low odds on formal imprisonment amid no further developments two months on.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
交易量
$90,886结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 87.5% implied probability for Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of China's Central Military Commission, receiving a prison sentence before 2027, driven by the absence of trial or sentencing updates since his January 24, 2026, purge announcement for "serious violations of discipline." This followed Xi Jinping's intensifying anti-corruption campaign in the People's Liberation Army, with Zhang last seen publicly on December 22, 2025, and absent from the March 2026 Two Sessions. Opaque Chinese Communist Party disciplinary processes often resolve high-level cases via expulsion or house arrest without public criminal convictions, explaining the sustained low odds on formal imprisonment amid no further developments two months on.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$90,886结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 87.5% implied probability for Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of China's Central Military Commission, receiving a prison sentence before 2027, driven by the absence of trial or sentencing updates since his January 24, 2026, purge announcement for "serious violations of discipline." This followed Xi Jinping's intensifying anti-corruption campaign in the People's Liberation Army, with Zhang last seen publicly on December 22, 2025, and absent from the March 2026 Two Sessions. Opaque Chinese Communist Party disciplinary processes often resolve high-level cases via expulsion or house arrest without public criminal convictions, explaining the sustained low odds on formal imprisonment amid no further developments two months on.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题