Trader sentiment leans against a Trump visit to China by the specified date, reflecting no official announcements amid escalating tariff threats and U.S.-China tensions over trade, Taiwan, and technology. The November 13, 2024, phone call between President-elect Trump and Xi Jinping was described as positive, covering topics like fentanyl and commerce, but yielded no summit commitments. Historical precedent from Trump's first term includes a 2017 Mar-a-Lago meeting, yet current rhetoric prioritizes confrontation over diplomacy. Upcoming catalysts include Trump's January 20 inauguration and potential early bilateral talks, though State Department scheduling and geopolitical frictions could delay any trip, keeping implied probabilities low per market consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$7,402,534 交易量
2026年3月31日
2%
2026年4月30日
12%
5月31日
52%
6月30日
66%
$7,402,534 交易量
2026年3月31日
2%
2026年4月30日
12%
5月31日
52%
6月30日
66%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Mar 16, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment leans against a Trump visit to China by the specified date, reflecting no official announcements amid escalating tariff threats and U.S.-China tensions over trade, Taiwan, and technology. The November 13, 2024, phone call between President-elect Trump and Xi Jinping was described as positive, covering topics like fentanyl and commerce, but yielded no summit commitments. Historical precedent from Trump's first term includes a 2017 Mar-a-Lago meeting, yet current rhetoric prioritizes confrontation over diplomacy. Upcoming catalysts include Trump's January 20 inauguration and potential early bilateral talks, though State Department scheduling and geopolitical frictions could delay any trip, keeping implied probabilities low per market consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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