Russian forces have not entered Havrylivka, a frontline village in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast near the Huliaipole sector, per the latest ISW maps, which serve as the market's resolution source for territorial control at specified coordinates. Airstrikes targeted Havrylivka as recently as March 26, 2026, amid intensified Russian assaults in the Zaporizhia axis, including incremental advances west of Huliaipole. Ukrainian counterattacks from positions north of nearby Ivanivka and Havrylivka were reported on March 7, sustaining defensive lines. Trader consensus reflects slow Russian progress in this contested area, with no confirmed ground incursions into the village despite ongoing escalation signals. Upcoming ISW updates and geolocated frontline footage will be pivotal for potential shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$13,113 交易量
3月31日
5%
4月30日
18%
$13,113 交易量
3月31日
5%
4月30日
18%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Havrylivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Feb 13, 2026, 1:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of Havrylivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have not entered Havrylivka, a frontline village in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast near the Huliaipole sector, per the latest ISW maps, which serve as the market's resolution source for territorial control at specified coordinates. Airstrikes targeted Havrylivka as recently as March 26, 2026, amid intensified Russian assaults in the Zaporizhia axis, including incremental advances west of Huliaipole. Ukrainian counterattacks from positions north of nearby Ivanivka and Havrylivka were reported on March 7, sustaining defensive lines. Trader consensus reflects slow Russian progress in this contested area, with no confirmed ground incursions into the village despite ongoing escalation signals. Upcoming ISW updates and geolocated frontline footage will be pivotal for potential shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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