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以色列会在……袭击加沙吗?

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以色列会在……袭击加沙吗?

$6,929,664 交易量

Nov 7, 2025
Polymarket

$6,929,664 交易量

Polymarket

10月30日

$77,645 交易量

10月31日

$153,814 交易量

11月1日

$77,419 交易量

11月2日

$104,552 交易量

11月3日

$79,019 交易量

11月4日

$126,778 交易量

分组项标题:11月5日

$203,702 交易量

11月6日

$49,111 交易量

11月7日

$35,457 交易量

11月8日

$15,571 交易量

11月9日

$1,280,816 交易量

11月10日

$61,561 交易量

11月11日

$29,870 交易量

11月12日

$92,584 交易量

11月13日

$54,020 交易量

分组项标题:11月14日

$45,955 交易量

11月15日

$42,589 交易量

11月16日

$83,132 交易量

November 17

$87,333 交易量

11月18日

$85,671 交易量

11月19日

$44,963 交易量

分组项标题:11月20日

$54,782 交易量

11月21日

$26,088 交易量

分组项标题:11月22日

$21,268 交易量

11月23日

$30,534 交易量

分组项标题:11月24日

$14,365 交易量

分组项标题:11月25日

$59,307 交易量

分组项标题:11月26日

$53,317 交易量

11月27日

$33,245 交易量

11月28日

$12,086 交易量

November 29

$11,476 交易量

11月30日

$1,857,452 交易量

December 1

$62,509 交易量

12月2日

$106,063 交易量

12月3日

$147,719 交易量

December 4

$85,586 交易量

12月5日

$71,822 交易量

December 6

$139,818 交易量

分组项标题:12月7日

$60,961 交易量

12月8日

$131,667 交易量

分组项标题:12月9日

$57,324 交易量

12月10日

$35,639 交易量

12月11日

$31,527 交易量

12月12日

$18,538 交易量

12月13日

$15,811 交易量

12月14日

$44,676 交易量

12月15日

$15,593 交易量

12月16日

$19,598 交易量

December 17

$54,038 交易量

12月18日

$20,785 交易量

12月19日

$18,414 交易量

12月20日

$156,923 交易量

12月21日

$95,642 交易量

12月22日

$103,890 交易量

12月23日

$42,350 交易量

12月24日

$79,828 交易量

12月25日

$97,271 交易量

12月26日

$90,936 交易量

12月27日

$29,623 交易量

12月28日

$19,861 交易量

12月29日

$18,062 交易量

12月30日

$23,206 交易量

12月31日

$28,504 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.

A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.

The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.

If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$6,929,664
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Oct 28, 2025, 10:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"以色列会在……袭击加沙吗?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 63+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "10月30日" at 100%, followed by "11月2日" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "以色列会在……袭击加沙吗?" has generated $6.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "以色列会在……袭击加沙吗?," browse the 63+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "以色列会在……袭击加沙吗?" is "10月30日" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "11月2日" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "以色列会在……袭击加沙吗?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.