**As of late March 2026, Israel has not launched a major ground offensive in Gaza, with military efforts limited to airstrikes and localized IDF clashes, such as a March 26 exchange killing armed operatives, amid ongoing civilian casualties exceeding 650 since October per recent reports. Earlier January plans for a Gaza City operation required Trump administration approval, but focus shifted to the US-Israel offensive against Iran—now on day 20 with Netanyahu calling for ground action there—and threats of Lebanon invasion against Hezbollah. Stalled ceasefire talks, US-led negotiations, and Rafah crossing reopenings on March 15 signal diplomatic pressures, while regional escalation risks could delay or redirect Gaza operations before any resolution deadline.**
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$492,966 交易量
Oct 31, 2025
2026年3月31日
2%
6月30日
16%
12月31日
38%
$492,966 交易量
2026年3月31日
$321,207 交易量
2%
6月30日
$8,067 交易量
16%
12月31日
$12,806 交易量
38%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**As of late March 2026, Israel has not launched a major ground offensive in Gaza, with military efforts limited to airstrikes and localized IDF clashes, such as a March 26 exchange killing armed operatives, amid ongoing civilian casualties exceeding 650 since October per recent reports. Earlier January plans for a Gaza City operation required Trump administration approval, but focus shifted to the US-Israel offensive against Iran—now on day 20 with Netanyahu calling for ground action there—and threats of Lebanon invasion against Hezbollah. Stalled ceasefire talks, US-led negotiations, and Rafah crossing reopenings on March 15 signal diplomatic pressures, while regional escalation risks could delay or redirect Gaza operations before any resolution deadline.**
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
交易量
$492,966结束日期
Dec 31, 2025市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**As of late March 2026, Israel has not launched a major ground offensive in Gaza, with military efforts limited to airstrikes and localized IDF clashes, such as a March 26 exchange killing armed operatives, amid ongoing civilian casualties exceeding 650 since October per recent reports. Earlier January plans for a Gaza City operation required Trump administration approval, but focus shifted to the US-Israel offensive against Iran—now on day 20 with Netanyahu calling for ground action there—and threats of Lebanon invasion against Hezbollah. Stalled ceasefire talks, US-led negotiations, and Rafah crossing reopenings on March 15 signal diplomatic pressures, while regional escalation risks could delay or redirect Gaza operations before any resolution deadline.**
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$492,966结束日期
Dec 31, 2025市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**As of late March 2026, Israel has not launched a major ground offensive in Gaza, with military efforts limited to airstrikes and localized IDF clashes, such as a March 26 exchange killing armed operatives, amid ongoing civilian casualties exceeding 650 since October per recent reports. Earlier January plans for a Gaza City operation required Trump administration approval, but focus shifted to the US-Israel offensive against Iran—now on day 20 with Netanyahu calling for ground action there—and threats of Lebanon invasion against Hezbollah. Stalled ceasefire talks, US-led negotiations, and Rafah crossing reopenings on March 15 signal diplomatic pressures, while regional escalation risks could delay or redirect Gaza operations before any resolution deadline.**
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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