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以色列会在……之前在加沙发动重大地面攻势吗?

Market icon

以色列会在……之前在加沙发动重大地面攻势吗?

$492,364 交易量

Oct 31, 2025
Polymarket

$492,364 交易量

Polymarket

2026年3月31日

$320,604 交易量

2%

6月30日

$8,067 交易量

16%

12月31日

$12,806 交易量

38%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing escalation in the Israel-Iran war and ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon launched earlier this month, the IDF remains on high alert in Gaza without initiating a major ground offensive as of late March 2026. Reports from 14 hours ago indicate a weakened Hamas attempting to rearm, prompting vigilance but no large-scale incursion, diverting resources from earlier January plans for a Gaza City operation that required U.S. approval under the Trump administration. A U.S. proposal for Hamas political surrender surfaced two days ago, alongside advancing postwar Gaza plans, potentially influencing military postures. Traders monitor diplomatic negotiations, ceasefire prospects, and northern front developments that could delay or preclude Gaza escalation before the market's resolution date.

Amid ongoing escalation in the Israel-Iran war and ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon launched earlier this month, the IDF remains on high alert in Gaza without initiating a major ground offensive as of late March 2026. Reports from 14 hours ago indicate a weakened Hamas attempting to rearm, prompting vigilance but no large-scale incursion, diverting resources from earlier January plans for a Gaza City operation that required U.S. approval under the Trump administration. A U.S. proposal for Hamas political surrender surfaced two days ago, alongside advancing postwar Gaza plans, potentially influencing military postures. Traders monitor diplomatic negotiations, ceasefire prospects, and northern front developments that could delay or preclude Gaza escalation before the market's resolution date.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing escalation in the Israel-Iran war and ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon launched earlier this month, the IDF remains on high alert in Gaza without initiating a major ground offensive as of late March 2026. Reports from 14 hours ago indicate a weakened Hamas attempting to rearm, prompting vigilance but no large-scale incursion, diverting resources from earlier January plans for a Gaza City operation that required U.S. approval under the Trump administration. A U.S. proposal for Hamas political surrender surfaced two days ago, alongside advancing postwar Gaza plans, potentially influencing military postures. Traders monitor diplomatic negotiations, ceasefire prospects, and northern front developments that could delay or preclude Gaza escalation before the market's resolution date.

Amid ongoing escalation in the Israel-Iran war and ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon launched earlier this month, the IDF remains on high alert in Gaza without initiating a major ground offensive as of late March 2026. Reports from 14 hours ago indicate a weakened Hamas attempting to rearm, prompting vigilance but no large-scale incursion, diverting resources from earlier January plans for a Gaza City operation that required U.S. approval under the Trump administration. A U.S. proposal for Hamas political surrender surfaced two days ago, alongside advancing postwar Gaza plans, potentially influencing military postures. Traders monitor diplomatic negotiations, ceasefire prospects, and northern front developments that could delay or preclude Gaza escalation before the market's resolution date.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"以色列会在……之前在加沙发动重大地面攻势吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"12月31日",概率为 38%,其次是"6月30日",概率为 16%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 38¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 38%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"以色列会在……之前在加沙发动重大地面攻势吗?"已产生 $492.4K 的总交易量(自Oct 19, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"以色列会在……之前在加沙发动重大地面攻势吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"以色列会在……之前在加沙发动重大地面攻势吗?"的当前领先者是"12月31日",概率为 38%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 38%。紧随其后的结果是"6月30日",概率为 16%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"以色列会在……之前在加沙发动重大地面攻势吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。