Amid ongoing escalation in the Israel-Iran war and ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon launched earlier this month, the IDF remains on high alert in Gaza without initiating a major ground offensive as of late March 2026. Reports from 14 hours ago indicate a weakened Hamas attempting to rearm, prompting vigilance but no large-scale incursion, diverting resources from earlier January plans for a Gaza City operation that required U.S. approval under the Trump administration. A U.S. proposal for Hamas political surrender surfaced two days ago, alongside advancing postwar Gaza plans, potentially influencing military postures. Traders monitor diplomatic negotiations, ceasefire prospects, and northern front developments that could delay or preclude Gaza escalation before the market's resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$492,364 交易量
Oct 31, 2025
2026年3月31日
2%
6月30日
16%
12月31日
38%
$492,364 交易量
2026年3月31日
$320,604 交易量
2%
6月30日
$8,067 交易量
16%
12月31日
$12,806 交易量
38%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing escalation in the Israel-Iran war and ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon launched earlier this month, the IDF remains on high alert in Gaza without initiating a major ground offensive as of late March 2026. Reports from 14 hours ago indicate a weakened Hamas attempting to rearm, prompting vigilance but no large-scale incursion, diverting resources from earlier January plans for a Gaza City operation that required U.S. approval under the Trump administration. A U.S. proposal for Hamas political surrender surfaced two days ago, alongside advancing postwar Gaza plans, potentially influencing military postures. Traders monitor diplomatic negotiations, ceasefire prospects, and northern front developments that could delay or preclude Gaza escalation before the market's resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ET
交易量
$492,364结束日期
Dec 31, 2025市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing escalation in the Israel-Iran war and ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon launched earlier this month, the IDF remains on high alert in Gaza without initiating a major ground offensive as of late March 2026. Reports from 14 hours ago indicate a weakened Hamas attempting to rearm, prompting vigilance but no large-scale incursion, diverting resources from earlier January plans for a Gaza City operation that required U.S. approval under the Trump administration. A U.S. proposal for Hamas political surrender surfaced two days ago, alongside advancing postwar Gaza plans, potentially influencing military postures. Traders monitor diplomatic negotiations, ceasefire prospects, and northern front developments that could delay or preclude Gaza escalation before the market's resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$492,364结束日期
Dec 31, 2025市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid ongoing escalation in the Israel-Iran war and ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon launched earlier this month, the IDF remains on high alert in Gaza without initiating a major ground offensive as of late March 2026. Reports from 14 hours ago indicate a weakened Hamas attempting to rearm, prompting vigilance but no large-scale incursion, diverting resources from earlier January plans for a Gaza City operation that required U.S. approval under the Trump administration. A U.S. proposal for Hamas political surrender surfaced two days ago, alongside advancing postwar Gaza plans, potentially influencing military postures. Traders monitor diplomatic negotiations, ceasefire prospects, and northern front developments that could delay or preclude Gaza escalation before the market's resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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