Israeli Defense Forces continue targeted raids and airstrikes in Gaza targeting Hamas infrastructure and leaders, including recent operations in Jabalia that killed senior commanders, but have refrained from a major ground offensive amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations. Diplomatic efforts intensified last week with US, Qatar, and Egypt mediators advancing a potential hostage-prisoner swap and 60-day truce proposal, following Hamas's response to prior terms. Prime Minister Netanyahu reiterated commitments to dismantle Hamas and secure hostages, balancing domestic protests urging de-escalation with security cabinet pressures for escalation. International scrutiny, including UN General Assembly debates and US election dynamics, weighs against broad invasion, while upcoming talks in Doha could tip toward truce or renewed military action by the market deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$492,151 交易量
Oct 31, 2025
2026年3月31日
2%
6月30日
16%
12月31日
39%
$492,151 交易量
2026年3月31日
$320,392 交易量
2%
6月30日
$8,067 交易量
16%
12月31日
$12,806 交易量
39%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Defense Forces continue targeted raids and airstrikes in Gaza targeting Hamas infrastructure and leaders, including recent operations in Jabalia that killed senior commanders, but have refrained from a major ground offensive amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations. Diplomatic efforts intensified last week with US, Qatar, and Egypt mediators advancing a potential hostage-prisoner swap and 60-day truce proposal, following Hamas's response to prior terms. Prime Minister Netanyahu reiterated commitments to dismantle Hamas and secure hostages, balancing domestic protests urging de-escalation with security cabinet pressures for escalation. International scrutiny, including UN General Assembly debates and US election dynamics, weighs against broad invasion, while upcoming talks in Doha could tip toward truce or renewed military action by the market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ET
交易量
$492,151结束日期
Dec 31, 2025市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Defense Forces continue targeted raids and airstrikes in Gaza targeting Hamas infrastructure and leaders, including recent operations in Jabalia that killed senior commanders, but have refrained from a major ground offensive amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations. Diplomatic efforts intensified last week with US, Qatar, and Egypt mediators advancing a potential hostage-prisoner swap and 60-day truce proposal, following Hamas's response to prior terms. Prime Minister Netanyahu reiterated commitments to dismantle Hamas and secure hostages, balancing domestic protests urging de-escalation with security cabinet pressures for escalation. International scrutiny, including UN General Assembly debates and US election dynamics, weighs against broad invasion, while upcoming talks in Doha could tip toward truce or renewed military action by the market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$492,151结束日期
Dec 31, 2025市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli Defense Forces continue targeted raids and airstrikes in Gaza targeting Hamas infrastructure and leaders, including recent operations in Jabalia that killed senior commanders, but have refrained from a major ground offensive amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations. Diplomatic efforts intensified last week with US, Qatar, and Egypt mediators advancing a potential hostage-prisoner swap and 60-day truce proposal, following Hamas's response to prior terms. Prime Minister Netanyahu reiterated commitments to dismantle Hamas and secure hostages, balancing domestic protests urging de-escalation with security cabinet pressures for escalation. International scrutiny, including UN General Assembly debates and US election dynamics, weighs against broad invasion, while upcoming talks in Doha could tip toward truce or renewed military action by the market deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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