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以色列是否会在12月31日之前吞并任何领土?

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以色列是否会在12月31日之前吞并任何领土?

$382,587 交易量

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$382,587 交易量

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$132,335 交易量

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli government measures approved in early February 2026 have intensified de facto control over West Bank territory, including declaring vast areas as state land, lifting secrecy on land registries, and easing settler access to Palestinian-owned properties, actions critics label as steps toward annexation while weakening the Palestinian Authority and Oslo Accords. Far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich spearheaded these changes amid ongoing settlement expansions, prompting condemnations from over 80 UN member states, the EU, US, Britain, and Arab nations, who warn of undermining a two-state solution. No formal sovereignty extension has occurred, with traders weighing domestic political pressures ahead of October 2026 elections, US diplomatic stance under President Trump, and potential escalation risks from Gaza and Lebanon conflicts before year-end resolution.

Israeli government measures approved in early February 2026 have intensified de facto control over West Bank territory, including declaring vast areas as state land, lifting secrecy on land registries, and easing settler access to Palestinian-owned properties, actions critics label as steps toward annexation while weakening the Palestinian Authority and Oslo Accords. Far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich spearheaded these changes amid ongoing settlement expansions, prompting condemnations from over 80 UN member states, the EU, US, Britain, and Arab nations, who warn of undermining a two-state solution. No formal sovereignty extension has occurred, with traders weighing domestic political pressures ahead of October 2026 elections, US diplomatic stance under President Trump, and potential escalation risks from Gaza and Lebanon conflicts before year-end resolution.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli government measures approved in early February 2026 have intensified de facto control over West Bank territory, including declaring vast areas as state land, lifting secrecy on land registries, and easing settler access to Palestinian-owned properties, actions critics label as steps toward annexation while weakening the Palestinian Authority and Oslo Accords. Far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich spearheaded these changes amid ongoing settlement expansions, prompting condemnations from over 80 UN member states, the EU, US, Britain, and Arab nations, who warn of undermining a two-state solution. No formal sovereignty extension has occurred, with traders weighing domestic political pressures ahead of October 2026 elections, US diplomatic stance under President Trump, and potential escalation risks from Gaza and Lebanon conflicts before year-end resolution.

Israeli government measures approved in early February 2026 have intensified de facto control over West Bank territory, including declaring vast areas as state land, lifting secrecy on land registries, and easing settler access to Palestinian-owned properties, actions critics label as steps toward annexation while weakening the Palestinian Authority and Oslo Accords. Far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich spearheaded these changes amid ongoing settlement expansions, prompting condemnations from over 80 UN member states, the EU, US, Britain, and Arab nations, who warn of undermining a two-state solution. No formal sovereignty extension has occurred, with traders weighing domestic political pressures ahead of October 2026 elections, US diplomatic stance under President Trump, and potential escalation risks from Gaza and Lebanon conflicts before year-end resolution.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"以色列是否会在12月31日之前吞并任何领土?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年6月30日",概率为 17%,其次是"问题:以色列是否在12月31日之前吞并任何领土?",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 17¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 17%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"以色列是否会在12月31日之前吞并任何领土?"已产生 $382.6K 的总交易量(自Jul 23, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"以色列是否会在12月31日之前吞并任何领土?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"以色列是否会在12月31日之前吞并任何领土?"的当前领先者是"2026年6月30日",概率为 17%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 17%。紧随其后的结果是"问题:以色列是否在12月31日之前吞并任何领土?",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"以色列是否会在12月31日之前吞并任何领土?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。