The US and Israel initiated a full-scale air campaign against Iran on February 28, 2026, with strikes killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and targeting military sites, prompting Iranian missile barrages on Israel and US bases in the region. Escalation has drawn in allies, including Bahrain's confirmed missile launches from US systems and US B-52 bombers operating from UK bases, while Saudi Arabia responded to Iranian attacks on its territory. As of March 29, the IDF described its strike campaign as nearly complete amid Iran's hits on an Israeli industrial zone. Diplomatic efforts intensify with Iran reviewing a US proposal to end the war, warnings against ground invasion, and a regional summit in Pakistan on Sunday to discuss de-escalation, shaping trader assessments of further multinational military action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$3,949,260 交易量
3月31日
3%
$3,949,260 交易量
3月31日
3%
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying “strike” is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by a country other than Israel or the United States’ military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile or drone launched by such a country, this market will resolve to “Yes”).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground forces of countries other than Israel or the United States will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Feb 28, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a qualifying “strike” is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by a country other than Israel or the United States’ military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile or drone launched by such a country, this market will resolve to “Yes”).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground forces of countries other than Israel or the United States will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The US and Israel initiated a full-scale air campaign against Iran on February 28, 2026, with strikes killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and targeting military sites, prompting Iranian missile barrages on Israel and US bases in the region. Escalation has drawn in allies, including Bahrain's confirmed missile launches from US systems and US B-52 bombers operating from UK bases, while Saudi Arabia responded to Iranian attacks on its territory. As of March 29, the IDF described its strike campaign as nearly complete amid Iran's hits on an Israeli industrial zone. Diplomatic efforts intensify with Iran reviewing a US proposal to end the war, warnings against ground invasion, and a regional summit in Pakistan on Sunday to discuss de-escalation, shaping trader assessments of further multinational military action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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