President Trump held a confirmed phone call with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in late March amid the escalating US-Iran conflict, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and calls for allied action on oil routes, solidifying trader consensus at near 100% implied probability for that outcome in this multi-option market on March 1-31 verbal or in-person talks. Reports of discussions with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte surfaced via CBS and CNN interviews, but lack consensus for resolution, holding odds at 4%; Xi Jinping talks remain unverified below 1%. Traders weigh diplomatic signals for de-escalation or regime change, with market resolution tied to credible reporting as Hormuz tensions persist.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$4,549,168 交易量
2026-03-31
穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼
100%
马克·吕特
4%
习近平
<1%
$4,549,168 交易量
穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼
$330,578 交易量
100%
马克·吕特
$319,578 交易量
4%
习近平
$3,696,061 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump held a confirmed phone call with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in late March amid the escalating US-Iran conflict, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and calls for allied action on oil routes, solidifying trader consensus at near 100% implied probability for that outcome in this multi-option market on March 1-31 verbal or in-person talks. Reports of discussions with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte surfaced via CBS and CNN interviews, but lack consensus for resolution, holding odds at 4%; Xi Jinping talks remain unverified below 1%. Traders weigh diplomatic signals for de-escalation or regime change, with market resolution tied to credible reporting as Hormuz tensions persist.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
交易量
$4,549,168结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump held a confirmed phone call with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in late March amid the escalating US-Iran conflict, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and calls for allied action on oil routes, solidifying trader consensus at near 100% implied probability for that outcome in this multi-option market on March 1-31 verbal or in-person talks. Reports of discussions with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte surfaced via CBS and CNN interviews, but lack consensus for resolution, holding odds at 4%; Xi Jinping talks remain unverified below 1%. Traders weigh diplomatic signals for de-escalation or regime change, with market resolution tied to credible reporting as Hormuz tensions persist.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$4,549,168结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
President Trump held a confirmed phone call with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in late March amid the escalating US-Iran conflict, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and calls for allied action on oil routes, solidifying trader consensus at near 100% implied probability for that outcome in this multi-option market on March 1-31 verbal or in-person talks. Reports of discussions with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte surfaced via CBS and CNN interviews, but lack consensus for resolution, holding odds at 4%; Xi Jinping talks remain unverified below 1%. Traders weigh diplomatic signals for de-escalation or regime change, with market resolution tied to credible reporting as Hormuz tensions persist.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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