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特朗普将在国情咨文演讲中提名谁?

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特朗普将在国情咨文演讲中提名谁?

$778,375 交易量

Feb 24, 2026
Polymarket

$778,375 交易量

Polymarket

阿亚图拉 / 哈梅内伊

$8,171 交易量

Beckstrom

$14,682 交易量

Bessent

$18,125 交易量

比比 / 内塔尼亚胡

$13,406 交易量

查理·柯克

$43,982 交易量

克林顿

$12,738 交易量

伊丽莎白·沃伦 / 波卡洪塔斯

$6,992 交易量

埃隆 / 马斯克

$12,353 交易量

赫格塞斯

$14,012 交易量

霍曼

$17,001 交易量

Howard / Lutnick

$11,362 交易量

库什纳

$22,752 交易量

Karoline / Leavitt

$10,737 交易量

卡什 / 帕特尔

$11,243 交易量

诺姆

$9,681 交易量

林肯

$12,608 交易量

马杜罗

$18,016 交易量

马尔科 / 卢比奥

$14,769 交易量

门罗

$24,558 交易量

纽森 / Newscum

$19,690 交易量

奥巴马

$103,547 交易量

Pam / Bondi

$11,688 交易量

鲍威尔 / 太晚

$9,538 交易量

习主席

$18,077 交易量

穆罕默德王子

$12,918 交易量

普京

$17,169 交易量

里根

$15,552 交易量

礼萨 / 巴列维

$8,660 交易量

舒默

$3,913 交易量

苏茜·怀尔斯

$8,570 交易量

Thune

$14,052 交易量

Walz

$8,445 交易量

Witkoff

$33,363 交易量

泽连斯基

$12,449 交易量

Zohran / Mamdani

$14,622 交易量

布什

$7,228 交易量

拜登

$58,518 交易量

卡瓦诺

$818 交易量

凯文·沃什

$7,103 交易量

朱迪·谢尔顿

$74,897 交易量

马查多

$2,157 交易量

凯恩

$2,500 交易量

戴尔

$10,084 交易量

斯卡利斯

$5,627 交易量

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
交易量
$778,375
结束日期
Feb 24, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普将在国情咨文演讲中提名谁?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 44+ 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Beckstrom",概率为 100%,其次是"查理·柯克",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普将在国情咨文演讲中提名谁?"已产生 $778.4K 的总交易量(自Jan 20, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普将在国情咨文演讲中提名谁?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 44+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普将在国情咨文演讲中提名谁?"的当前领先者是"Beckstrom",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"查理·柯克",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普将在国情咨文演讲中提名谁?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。