Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Who will Trump endorse?" market favors candidates aligned with President-elect Trump's MAGA priorities, driven by his recent endorsements of loyalists like Rep. Elise Stefanik for U.N. ambassador and hints at backing America First Senate contenders ahead of 2026 midterms. Key factors include Trump's Truth Social activity and private signals to GOP leaders, emphasizing loyalty tests from his 2024 campaign playbook. Recent Wisconsin Senate speculation and Texas AG buzz have shifted odds, but no formal announcement has occurred. Upcoming RNC meetings and Trump's Mar-a-Lago events could catalyze movement, as traders weigh his history of last-minute primary interventions against base rates of 70% endorsement success for winners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
约翰·科宁 - 德州参议员
73%

苏珊·柯林斯 - ME-Sen
77%

Andy Barr - KY-Sen
41%

肯·帕克斯顿 - 德州参议院
26%

史蒂夫·希尔顿 - 加州州长选举
63%
$9,920 交易量

约翰·科宁 - 德州参议员
73%

苏珊·柯林斯 - ME-Sen
77%

Andy Barr - KY-Sen
41%

肯·帕克斯顿 - 德州参议院
26%

史蒂夫·希尔顿 - 加州州长选举
63%
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2025, 4:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Who will Trump endorse?" market favors candidates aligned with President-elect Trump's MAGA priorities, driven by his recent endorsements of loyalists like Rep. Elise Stefanik for U.N. ambassador and hints at backing America First Senate contenders ahead of 2026 midterms. Key factors include Trump's Truth Social activity and private signals to GOP leaders, emphasizing loyalty tests from his 2024 campaign playbook. Recent Wisconsin Senate speculation and Texas AG buzz have shifted odds, but no formal announcement has occurred. Upcoming RNC meetings and Trump's Mar-a-Lago events could catalyze movement, as traders weigh his history of last-minute primary interventions against base rates of 70% endorsement success for winners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题