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谁将晋级葡萄牙总统选举第二轮?

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谁将晋级葡萄牙总统选举第二轮?

$2,232,770 交易量

Jan 18, 2026
Polymarket

$2,232,770 交易量

Polymarket
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若昂·科特林·德·菲格雷多

$692,386 交易量

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若安娜·阿马拉尔·迪亚斯(ADN)

$33,505 交易量

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安德烈·文图拉 (CH)

$519,006 交易量

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阿里斯蒂德斯·特谢拉(无党籍)

$1,931 交易量

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路易斯·马尔克斯·门德斯(社会民主党)

$450,366 交易量

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo(无党籍)

$142,978 交易量

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维托里诺·席尔瓦(无党籍)

$2,203 交易量

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安东尼奥·菲利佩(葡共)

$3,984 交易量

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若泽·卡多索(PLS)

$2,305 交易量

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若热·平托

$4,909 交易量

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蒂姆·维埃拉(无党籍)

$1,610 交易量

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$4,687 交易量

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$2,114 交易量

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$3,235 交易量

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佩德罗·蒂诺科·德法里亚(无党籍)

$1,063 交易量

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安东尼奥·若泽·塞古罗(无党籍)

$303,956 交易量

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Ângela Maryah(无党籍)

$1,518 交易量

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劳尔·佩雷斯特雷洛(无党籍)

$3,210 交易量

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佩德罗·帕索斯·科埃略(社会民主党)

$535 交易量

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卡塔丽娜·马丁斯

$11,020 交易量

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洪贝托·科雷亚

$15,692 交易量

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$30,557 交易量

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. The two candidates with the greatest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidates that qualify for the second round of this election.

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

If a candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
交易量
$2,232,770
结束日期
Jan 18, 2026
市场开放时间
Nov 26, 2025, 10:04 AM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. The two candidates with the greatest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidates that qualify for the second round of this election. If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". If a candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"谁将晋级葡萄牙总统选举第二轮?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "安德烈·文图拉 (CH)" at 100%, followed by "安东尼奥·若泽·塞古罗(无党籍)" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "谁将晋级葡萄牙总统选举第二轮?" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "谁将晋级葡萄牙总统选举第二轮?," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "谁将晋级葡萄牙总统选举第二轮?" is "安德烈·文图拉 (CH)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "安东尼奥·若泽·塞古罗(无党籍)" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "谁将晋级葡萄牙总统选举第二轮?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.