Following incumbent Rep. Jared Golden's November 2025 retirement announcement, the open ME-02 Democratic primary on June 9 remains closely contested under ranked-choice voting, with trader consensus favoring state Sen. Joe Baldacci at 42.5% implied probability due to his early lead in the March Pan Atlantic Omnibus Poll (36% support) and family name recognition from brother John Baldacci's prior tenure in the seat. State Auditor Matthew Dunlap trails at 25.5% after his internal poll showed a narrow edge and a fresh April 2 endorsement from Rep. Ro Khanna, while former congressional aide Jordan Wood holds 22% despite a March 16 report questioning her past PAC ties. Fundraising edges and undecided voters could shift dynamics ahead of the primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于乔·巴尔达奇 56%
乔丹·伍德 22%
马修·邓拉普 21%
贾里德·戈尔登 3.9%
最新
最新
2026-06-09
乔·巴尔达奇
39%
乔丹·伍德
22%
马修·邓拉普
22%
贾里德·戈尔登
4%
乔·巴尔达奇 56%
乔丹·伍德 22%
马修·邓拉普 21%
贾里德·戈尔登 3.9%
最新
最新
2026-06-09
乔·巴尔达奇
$2,828 交易量
39%
乔丹·伍德
$1,583 交易量
22%
马修·邓拉普
$2,249 交易量
22%
贾里德·戈尔登
$2,225 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Following incumbent Rep. Jared Golden's November 2025 retirement announcement, the open ME-02 Democratic primary on June 9 remains closely contested under ranked-choice voting, with trader consensus favoring state Sen. Joe Baldacci at 42.5% implied probability due to his early lead in the March Pan Atlantic Omnibus Poll (36% support) and family name recognition from brother John Baldacci's prior tenure in the seat. State Auditor Matthew Dunlap trails at 25.5% after his internal poll showed a narrow edge and a fresh April 2 endorsement from Rep. Ro Khanna, while former congressional aide Jordan Wood holds 22% despite a March 16 report questioning her past PAC ties. Fundraising edges and undecided voters could shift dynamics ahead of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
交易量
$8,885结束日期
2026-06-09市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Following incumbent Rep. Jared Golden's November 2025 retirement announcement, the open ME-02 Democratic primary on June 9 remains closely contested under ranked-choice voting, with trader consensus favoring state Sen. Joe Baldacci at 42.5% implied probability due to his early lead in the March Pan Atlantic Omnibus Poll (36% support) and family name recognition from brother John Baldacci's prior tenure in the seat. State Auditor Matthew Dunlap trails at 25.5% after his internal poll showed a narrow edge and a fresh April 2 endorsement from Rep. Ro Khanna, while former congressional aide Jordan Wood holds 22% despite a March 16 report questioning her past PAC ties. Fundraising edges and undecided voters could shift dynamics ahead of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$8,885结束日期
2026-06-09市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following incumbent Rep. Jared Golden's November 2025 retirement announcement, the open ME-02 Democratic primary on June 9 remains closely contested under ranked-choice voting, with trader consensus favoring state Sen. Joe Baldacci at 42.5% implied probability due to his early lead in the March Pan Atlantic Omnibus Poll (36% support) and family name recognition from brother John Baldacci's prior tenure in the seat. State Auditor Matthew Dunlap trails at 25.5% after his internal poll showed a narrow edge and a fresh April 2 endorsement from Rep. Ro Khanna, while former congressional aide Jordan Wood holds 22% despite a March 16 report questioning her past PAC ties. Fundraising edges and undecided voters could shift dynamics ahead of the primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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