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政治·特朗普

Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?

Market icon
政治·特朗普

Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?

$6,686,490 交易量

Jun 30, 2025
Polymarket

$6,686,490 交易量

Polymarket

China

$376,494 交易量

Yes

India

$485,051 交易量

No

European Union

$792,209 交易量

No

Japan

$532,685 交易量

No

Canada

$548,798 交易量

No

Mexico

$288,361 交易量

No

South Korea

$861,231 交易量

No

Vietnam

$504,367 交易量

No

Australia

$451,521 交易量

No

United Kingdom

$330,585 交易量

Yes

Germany

$166,599 交易量

No

France

$176,842 交易量

No

Brazil

$122,199 交易量

No

Argentina

$389,256 交易量

No

Israel

$660,292 交易量

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between April 14, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$6,686,490
结束日期
Jun 30, 2025
市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2025, 4:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between April 14, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 15 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"China"，概率为 100%，其次是"United Kingdom"，概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?"已产生 $6.7 million 的总交易量（自Apr 14, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 15 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?"的当前领先者是"China"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"United Kingdom"，概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。