The United States and Israel continue their airstrike campaign against Iran on day 31, targeting missile and drone production sites in Tehran, IRGC bases in Esfahan and Yazd, and defense infrastructure like Parchin complex power networks, degrading roughly one-third of Iran's missile stockpiles and launchers. Iranian retaliatory missile barrages hit Israeli sites near Beersheba and Gulf aluminum facilities in UAE and Bahrain, while drones targeted Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Kuwait, prompting reports of Riyadh and Abu Dhabi preparing strikes alongside US base access grants. E3 nations (UK, France, Germany) signaled readiness for defensive actions against Iranian capabilities. A US 15-point ceasefire proposal via Pakistan remains under review amid Trump's calls for negotiations, with no halt to operations by March 31 deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$10,878,059 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
沙特阿拉伯
3%
卡塔尔
3%
阿联酋
2%
巴林
1%
科威特
1%
约旦
1%
英国
1%
任意欧盟国家
1%
阿曼
<1%
法国
<1%
土耳其
<1%
德国
<1%
加拿大
<1%
$10,878,059 交易量
沙特阿拉伯
$2,217,125 交易量
3%
卡塔尔
$950,462 交易量
3%
阿联酋
$2,860,325 交易量
2%
巴林
$394,491 交易量
1%
科威特
$212,607 交易量
1%
约旦
$189,690 交易量
1%
英国
$948,724 交易量
1%
任意欧盟国家
$474,301 交易量
1%
阿曼
$132,269 交易量
<1%
法国
$757,182 交易量
<1%
土耳其
$485,354 交易量
<1%
德国
$913,162 交易量
<1%
加拿大
$342,367 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The United States and Israel continue their airstrike campaign against Iran on day 31, targeting missile and drone production sites in Tehran, IRGC bases in Esfahan and Yazd, and defense infrastructure like Parchin complex power networks, degrading roughly one-third of Iran's missile stockpiles and launchers. Iranian retaliatory missile barrages hit Israeli sites near Beersheba and Gulf aluminum facilities in UAE and Bahrain, while drones targeted Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Kuwait, prompting reports of Riyadh and Abu Dhabi preparing strikes alongside US base access grants. E3 nations (UK, France, Germany) signaled readiness for defensive actions against Iranian capabilities. A US 15-point ceasefire proposal via Pakistan remains under review amid Trump's calls for negotiations, with no halt to operations by March 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
交易量
$10,878,059结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The United States and Israel continue their airstrike campaign against Iran on day 31, targeting missile and drone production sites in Tehran, IRGC bases in Esfahan and Yazd, and defense infrastructure like Parchin complex power networks, degrading roughly one-third of Iran's missile stockpiles and launchers. Iranian retaliatory missile barrages hit Israeli sites near Beersheba and Gulf aluminum facilities in UAE and Bahrain, while drones targeted Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Kuwait, prompting reports of Riyadh and Abu Dhabi preparing strikes alongside US base access grants. E3 nations (UK, France, Germany) signaled readiness for defensive actions against Iranian capabilities. A US 15-point ceasefire proposal via Pakistan remains under review amid Trump's calls for negotiations, with no halt to operations by March 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,878,059结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States and Israel continue their airstrike campaign against Iran on day 31, targeting missile and drone production sites in Tehran, IRGC bases in Esfahan and Yazd, and defense infrastructure like Parchin complex power networks, degrading roughly one-third of Iran's missile stockpiles and launchers. Iranian retaliatory missile barrages hit Israeli sites near Beersheba and Gulf aluminum facilities in UAE and Bahrain, while drones targeted Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Kuwait, prompting reports of Riyadh and Abu Dhabi preparing strikes alongside US base access grants. E3 nations (UK, France, Germany) signaled readiness for defensive actions against Iranian capabilities. A US 15-point ceasefire proposal via Pakistan remains under review amid Trump's calls for negotiations, with no halt to operations by March 31 deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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