US and Israeli forces have sustained high-tempo airstrikes against Iranian military targets, nuclear sites, and arms production facilities since launching a joint campaign on February 28, 2026, anchoring trader consensus on their active involvement before the March 31 deadline. Recent escalations include new US casualties from Iranian drone and missile barrages on bases in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Bahrain, alongside Israel's intensified focus on degrading Tehran's military-industrial base amid President Trump's reported ceasefire overtures. The UK, France, and Germany have affirmed readiness for defensive actions to neutralize Iranian missile and drone launch sites, while Saudi Arabia and UAE signal potential strikes if Iran targets their energy infrastructure. Iran is reviewing a US-mediated proposal to halt hostilities, as Pentagon preparations for ground operations heighten uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$10,830,269 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
沙特阿拉伯
4%
阿联酋
3%
卡塔尔
2%
巴林
2%
约旦
1%
英国
1%
任意欧盟国家
1%
科威特
1%
土耳其
1%
法国
1%
阿曼
1%
加拿大
<1%
德国
<1%
$10,830,269 交易量
沙特阿拉伯
$2,204,303 交易量
4%
阿联酋
$2,851,281 交易量
3%
卡塔尔
$946,120 交易量
2%
巴林
$392,798 交易量
2%
约旦
$189,646 交易量
1%
英国
$948,389 交易量
1%
任意欧盟国家
$472,045 交易量
1%
科威特
$211,626 交易量
1%
土耳其
$481,794 交易量
1%
法国
$750,278 交易量
1%
阿曼
$132,053 交易量
1%
加拿大
$339,302 交易量
<1%
德国
$912,034 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces have sustained high-tempo airstrikes against Iranian military targets, nuclear sites, and arms production facilities since launching a joint campaign on February 28, 2026, anchoring trader consensus on their active involvement before the March 31 deadline. Recent escalations include new US casualties from Iranian drone and missile barrages on bases in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Bahrain, alongside Israel's intensified focus on degrading Tehran's military-industrial base amid President Trump's reported ceasefire overtures. The UK, France, and Germany have affirmed readiness for defensive actions to neutralize Iranian missile and drone launch sites, while Saudi Arabia and UAE signal potential strikes if Iran targets their energy infrastructure. Iran is reviewing a US-mediated proposal to halt hostilities, as Pentagon preparations for ground operations heighten uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
交易量
$10,830,269结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces have sustained high-tempo airstrikes against Iranian military targets, nuclear sites, and arms production facilities since launching a joint campaign on February 28, 2026, anchoring trader consensus on their active involvement before the March 31 deadline. Recent escalations include new US casualties from Iranian drone and missile barrages on bases in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Bahrain, alongside Israel's intensified focus on degrading Tehran's military-industrial base amid President Trump's reported ceasefire overtures. The UK, France, and Germany have affirmed readiness for defensive actions to neutralize Iranian missile and drone launch sites, while Saudi Arabia and UAE signal potential strikes if Iran targets their energy infrastructure. Iran is reviewing a US-mediated proposal to halt hostilities, as Pentagon preparations for ground operations heighten uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,830,269结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli forces have sustained high-tempo airstrikes against Iranian military targets, nuclear sites, and arms production facilities since launching a joint campaign on February 28, 2026, anchoring trader consensus on their active involvement before the March 31 deadline. Recent escalations include new US casualties from Iranian drone and missile barrages on bases in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Bahrain, alongside Israel's intensified focus on degrading Tehran's military-industrial base amid President Trump's reported ceasefire overtures. The UK, France, and Germany have affirmed readiness for defensive actions to neutralize Iranian missile and drone launch sites, while Saudi Arabia and UAE signal potential strikes if Iran targets their energy infrastructure. Iran is reviewing a US-mediated proposal to halt hostilities, as Pentagon preparations for ground operations heighten uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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