US and Israel have conducted extensive airstrikes against Iran since February 28, 2026, targeting nuclear facilities, ballistic missile production sites, and defense infrastructure in a campaign to degrade Tehran's capabilities, as confirmed by recent IDF operations on March 28-29 including strikes in Tehran and Zanjan. Iran has retaliated with missile barrages on Israeli cities, US bases, and Gulf energy sites, while Yemen's Houthis escalated by launching attacks on Israel. US ground forces arrived in the Middle East on March 29 amid reports of over 10,000 targets hit, with President Trump signaling consideration of seizing Kharg Island to control oil flows. No other countries have verified military actions against Iran; trader focus remains on final-hour developments before the March 31 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$10,835,449 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
沙特阿拉伯
4%
阿联酋
3%
卡塔尔
2%
巴林
2%
约旦
1%
任意欧盟国家
1%
英国
1%
科威特
1%
土耳其
1%
法国
1%
阿曼
1%
德国
<1%
加拿大
<1%
$10,835,449 交易量
沙特阿拉伯
$2,206,435 交易量
4%
阿联酋
$2,851,568 交易量
3%
卡塔尔
$946,220 交易量
2%
巴林
$392,889 交易量
2%
约旦
$189,690 交易量
1%
任意欧盟国家
$472,045 交易量
1%
英国
$948,390 交易量
1%
科威特
$211,636 交易量
1%
土耳其
$481,794 交易量
1%
法国
$750,278 交易量
1%
阿曼
$132,063 交易量
1%
德国
$912,744 交易量
<1%
加拿大
$339,708 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel have conducted extensive airstrikes against Iran since February 28, 2026, targeting nuclear facilities, ballistic missile production sites, and defense infrastructure in a campaign to degrade Tehran's capabilities, as confirmed by recent IDF operations on March 28-29 including strikes in Tehran and Zanjan. Iran has retaliated with missile barrages on Israeli cities, US bases, and Gulf energy sites, while Yemen's Houthis escalated by launching attacks on Israel. US ground forces arrived in the Middle East on March 29 amid reports of over 10,000 targets hit, with President Trump signaling consideration of seizing Kharg Island to control oil flows. No other countries have verified military actions against Iran; trader focus remains on final-hour developments before the March 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
交易量
$10,835,449结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel have conducted extensive airstrikes against Iran since February 28, 2026, targeting nuclear facilities, ballistic missile production sites, and defense infrastructure in a campaign to degrade Tehran's capabilities, as confirmed by recent IDF operations on March 28-29 including strikes in Tehran and Zanjan. Iran has retaliated with missile barrages on Israeli cities, US bases, and Gulf energy sites, while Yemen's Houthis escalated by launching attacks on Israel. US ground forces arrived in the Middle East on March 29 amid reports of over 10,000 targets hit, with President Trump signaling consideration of seizing Kharg Island to control oil flows. No other countries have verified military actions against Iran; trader focus remains on final-hour developments before the March 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,835,449结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israel have conducted extensive airstrikes against Iran since February 28, 2026, targeting nuclear facilities, ballistic missile production sites, and defense infrastructure in a campaign to degrade Tehran's capabilities, as confirmed by recent IDF operations on March 28-29 including strikes in Tehran and Zanjan. Iran has retaliated with missile barrages on Israeli cities, US bases, and Gulf energy sites, while Yemen's Houthis escalated by launching attacks on Israel. US ground forces arrived in the Middle East on March 29 amid reports of over 10,000 targets hit, with President Trump signaling consideration of seizing Kharg Island to control oil flows. No other countries have verified military actions against Iran; trader focus remains on final-hour developments before the March 31 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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