US and Israel lead an ongoing military campaign against Iran that began February 28 with massive airstrikes killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and top officials, now on day 29 amid Israeli hits on nuclear facilities and steel plants within the past day, drawing Tehran's vows of retaliation beyond "an eye for an eye." Iran has fired near-daily missiles and drones at Israel, US bases, and Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and UAE, which intercepted attacks while signaling readiness to join counterstrikes if energy infrastructure is targeted. UK, France, and Germany announced preparedness for defensive actions against Iranian missile and drone capabilities. President Trump's extension of the Strait of Hormuz deadline heightens risks of further escalation before the March 31 cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$10,317,326 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
沙特阿拉伯
7%
阿联酋
5%
卡塔尔
3%
巴林
2%
英国
1%
科威特
1%
任意欧盟国家
1%
约旦
1%
土耳其
1%
法国
1%
阿曼
1%
加拿大
<1%
德国
<1%
$10,317,326 交易量
沙特阿拉伯
$2,094,885 交易量
7%
阿联酋
$2,551,745 交易量
5%
卡塔尔
$932,748 交易量
3%
巴林
$387,572 交易量
2%
英国
$937,058 交易量
1%
科威特
$208,449 交易量
1%
任意欧盟国家
$456,546 交易量
1%
约旦
$184,878 交易量
1%
土耳其
$470,719 交易量
1%
法国
$722,879 交易量
1%
阿曼
$128,622 交易量
1%
加拿大
$333,953 交易量
<1%
德国
$907,291 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel lead an ongoing military campaign against Iran that began February 28 with massive airstrikes killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and top officials, now on day 29 amid Israeli hits on nuclear facilities and steel plants within the past day, drawing Tehran's vows of retaliation beyond "an eye for an eye." Iran has fired near-daily missiles and drones at Israel, US bases, and Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and UAE, which intercepted attacks while signaling readiness to join counterstrikes if energy infrastructure is targeted. UK, France, and Germany announced preparedness for defensive actions against Iranian missile and drone capabilities. President Trump's extension of the Strait of Hormuz deadline heightens risks of further escalation before the March 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
交易量
$10,317,326结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel lead an ongoing military campaign against Iran that began February 28 with massive airstrikes killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and top officials, now on day 29 amid Israeli hits on nuclear facilities and steel plants within the past day, drawing Tehran's vows of retaliation beyond "an eye for an eye." Iran has fired near-daily missiles and drones at Israel, US bases, and Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and UAE, which intercepted attacks while signaling readiness to join counterstrikes if energy infrastructure is targeted. UK, France, and Germany announced preparedness for defensive actions against Iranian missile and drone capabilities. President Trump's extension of the Strait of Hormuz deadline heightens risks of further escalation before the March 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,317,326结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israel lead an ongoing military campaign against Iran that began February 28 with massive airstrikes killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and top officials, now on day 29 amid Israeli hits on nuclear facilities and steel plants within the past day, drawing Tehran's vows of retaliation beyond "an eye for an eye." Iran has fired near-daily missiles and drones at Israel, US bases, and Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and UAE, which intercepted attacks while signaling readiness to join counterstrikes if energy infrastructure is targeted. UK, France, and Germany announced preparedness for defensive actions against Iranian missile and drone capabilities. President Trump's extension of the Strait of Hormuz deadline heightens risks of further escalation before the March 31 cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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