The United States and Israel have led an ongoing military campaign against Iran since February 28, 2026, conducting airstrikes on nuclear facilities, ballistic missile sites, defense industries, and ports, with combined forces targeting additional sites as recently as March 29 per Institute for the Study of War reporting. Iran has retaliated with missile barrages on Israel, U.S. bases in Saudi Arabia, and Gulf infrastructure, prompting defensive interceptions by Britain, France, Germany, and GCC states including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, and Kuwait. Unconfirmed reports indicate UAE missile launches against Iran, while the Pentagon prepares limited ground operations on Kharg Island. Regional diplomacy in Pakistan today could signal de-escalation, but final-hour strikes remain possible before the March 31 resolution, shaping trader assessments of participant countries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$10,850,021 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
阿联酋
4%
沙特阿拉伯
4%
卡塔尔
3%
巴林
2%
科威特
1%
约旦
1%
英国
1%
土耳其
1%
法国
1%
任意欧盟国家
1%
阿曼
1%
德国
<1%
加拿大
<1%
$10,850,021 交易量
阿联酋
$2,855,704 交易量
4%
沙特阿拉伯
$2,211,747 交易量
4%
卡塔尔
$950,221 交易量
3%
巴林
$392,924 交易量
2%
科威特
$211,677 交易量
1%
约旦
$189,690 交易量
1%
英国
$948,392 交易量
1%
土耳其
$481,803 交易量
1%
法国
$750,286 交易量
1%
任意欧盟国家
$473,070 交易量
1%
阿曼
$132,078 交易量
1%
德国
$912,757 交易量
<1%
加拿大
$339,709 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The United States and Israel have led an ongoing military campaign against Iran since February 28, 2026, conducting airstrikes on nuclear facilities, ballistic missile sites, defense industries, and ports, with combined forces targeting additional sites as recently as March 29 per Institute for the Study of War reporting. Iran has retaliated with missile barrages on Israel, U.S. bases in Saudi Arabia, and Gulf infrastructure, prompting defensive interceptions by Britain, France, Germany, and GCC states including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, and Kuwait. Unconfirmed reports indicate UAE missile launches against Iran, while the Pentagon prepares limited ground operations on Kharg Island. Regional diplomacy in Pakistan today could signal de-escalation, but final-hour strikes remain possible before the March 31 resolution, shaping trader assessments of participant countries.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
交易量
$10,850,021结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The United States and Israel have led an ongoing military campaign against Iran since February 28, 2026, conducting airstrikes on nuclear facilities, ballistic missile sites, defense industries, and ports, with combined forces targeting additional sites as recently as March 29 per Institute for the Study of War reporting. Iran has retaliated with missile barrages on Israel, U.S. bases in Saudi Arabia, and Gulf infrastructure, prompting defensive interceptions by Britain, France, Germany, and GCC states including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, and Kuwait. Unconfirmed reports indicate UAE missile launches against Iran, while the Pentagon prepares limited ground operations on Kharg Island. Regional diplomacy in Pakistan today could signal de-escalation, but final-hour strikes remain possible before the March 31 resolution, shaping trader assessments of participant countries.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,850,021结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States and Israel have led an ongoing military campaign against Iran since February 28, 2026, conducting airstrikes on nuclear facilities, ballistic missile sites, defense industries, and ports, with combined forces targeting additional sites as recently as March 29 per Institute for the Study of War reporting. Iran has retaliated with missile barrages on Israel, U.S. bases in Saudi Arabia, and Gulf infrastructure, prompting defensive interceptions by Britain, France, Germany, and GCC states including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, and Kuwait. Unconfirmed reports indicate UAE missile launches against Iran, while the Pentagon prepares limited ground operations on Kharg Island. Regional diplomacy in Pakistan today could signal de-escalation, but final-hour strikes remain possible before the March 31 resolution, shaping trader assessments of participant countries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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