As of March 2026, 163 UN member states recognize Israel, leaving 29 holdouts—mostly Arab League and Organisation of Islamic Cooperation members like Syria, Tunisia, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan—amid stalled normalization post-Abraham Accords. Trader consensus reflects low expectations for breakthroughs by June 30, driven by no new recognitions in the past 30 days and recent joint condemnations of Israel's West Bank policies by nearly 20 nations, including Turkiye, Qatar, and Brazil, in February. US President Trump's March 28 call for Saudi Arabia to formally recognize Israel via Abraham Accords expansion offers potential momentum, but regional tensions over Gaza and Iran counter it, with no scheduled summits or votes imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$87,689 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
朝鲜
4%
古巴
6%
沙特阿拉伯
10%
黎巴嫩
6%
阿富汗
6%
伊拉克
5%
巴基斯坦
7%
叙利亚
9%
委内瑞拉
9%
突尼斯
11%
科威特
10%
卡塔尔
8%
印尼
7%
马来西亚
4%
孟加拉国
10%
$87,689 交易量
朝鲜
$0 交易量
4%
古巴
$0 交易量
6%
沙特阿拉伯
$3,350 交易量
10%
黎巴嫩
$0 交易量
6%
阿富汗
$0 交易量
6%
伊拉克
$0 交易量
5%
巴基斯坦
$0 交易量
7%
叙利亚
$4,318 交易量
9%
委内瑞拉
$80,022 交易量
9%
突尼斯
$0 交易量
11%
科威特
$0 交易量
10%
卡塔尔
$0 交易量
8%
印尼
$0 交易量
7%
马来西亚
$0 交易量
4%
孟加拉国
$0 交易量
10%
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of March 2026, 163 UN member states recognize Israel, leaving 29 holdouts—mostly Arab League and Organisation of Islamic Cooperation members like Syria, Tunisia, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan—amid stalled normalization post-Abraham Accords. Trader consensus reflects low expectations for breakthroughs by June 30, driven by no new recognitions in the past 30 days and recent joint condemnations of Israel's West Bank policies by nearly 20 nations, including Turkiye, Qatar, and Brazil, in February. US President Trump's March 28 call for Saudi Arabia to formally recognize Israel via Abraham Accords expansion offers potential momentum, but regional tensions over Gaza and Iran counter it, with no scheduled summits or votes imminent.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
交易量
$87,689结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of March 2026, 163 UN member states recognize Israel, leaving 29 holdouts—mostly Arab League and Organisation of Islamic Cooperation members like Syria, Tunisia, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan—amid stalled normalization post-Abraham Accords. Trader consensus reflects low expectations for breakthroughs by June 30, driven by no new recognitions in the past 30 days and recent joint condemnations of Israel's West Bank policies by nearly 20 nations, including Turkiye, Qatar, and Brazil, in February. US President Trump's March 28 call for Saudi Arabia to formally recognize Israel via Abraham Accords expansion offers potential momentum, but regional tensions over Gaza and Iran counter it, with no scheduled summits or votes imminent.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$87,689结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of March 2026, 163 UN member states recognize Israel, leaving 29 holdouts—mostly Arab League and Organisation of Islamic Cooperation members like Syria, Tunisia, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan—amid stalled normalization post-Abraham Accords. Trader consensus reflects low expectations for breakthroughs by June 30, driven by no new recognitions in the past 30 days and recent joint condemnations of Israel's West Bank policies by nearly 20 nations, including Turkiye, Qatar, and Brazil, in February. US President Trump's March 28 call for Saudi Arabia to formally recognize Israel via Abraham Accords expansion offers potential momentum, but regional tensions over Gaza and Iran counter it, with no scheduled summits or votes imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题