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地缘政治·以色列

哪些国家将在6月30日之前承认以色列？

Market icon
地缘政治·以色列

哪些国家将在6月30日之前承认以色列？

$88,125 交易量

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$88,125 交易量

Polymarket
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朝鲜

$0 交易量

4%

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古巴

$0 交易量

6%

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沙特阿拉伯

$3,350 交易量

10%

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黎巴嫩

$0 交易量

6%

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阿富汗

$0 交易量

6%

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伊拉克

$0 交易量

5%

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巴基斯坦

$0 交易量

7%

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叙利亚

$4,318 交易量

9%

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委内瑞拉

$80,022 交易量

9%

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突尼斯

$0 交易量

11%

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科威特

$0 交易量

10%

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卡塔尔

$0 交易量

8%

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印尼

$0 交易量

7%

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马来西亚

$435 交易量

5%

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孟加拉国

$0 交易量

10%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns low probabilities—led by Tunisia at 18%, Kuwait at 16%, and Saudi Arabia at 12%—to any holdout countries establishing diplomatic recognition of Israel by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled Abraham Accords expansion and no new bilateral breakthroughs in the past 30 days amid heightened Israel-Iran tensions and proxy conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria. Saudi normalization talks remain contingent on Palestinian statehood progress, with Riyadh citing domestic opposition, while nations like Pakistan and Indonesia face similar domestic and ideological barriers rooted in solidarity with Palestinians. Recent Western recognitions of Palestine, including by the UK and Canada in late 2025, have reinforced holdout stances. Traders eye potential US-brokered Gulf summits or de-escalations as catalysts, though structural hurdles persist.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns low probabilities—led by Tunisia at 18%, Kuwait at 16%, and Saudi Arabia at 12%—to any holdout countries establishing diplomatic recognition of Israel by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled Abraham Accords expansion and no new bilateral breakthroughs in the past 30 days amid heightened Israel-Iran tensions and proxy conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria. Saudi normalization talks remain contingent on Palestinian statehood progress, with Riyadh citing domestic opposition, while nations like Pakistan and Indonesia face similar domestic and ideological barriers rooted in solidarity with Palestinians. Recent Western recognitions of Palestine, including by the UK and Canada in late 2025, have reinforced holdout stances. Traders eye potential US-brokered Gulf summits or de-escalations as catalysts, though structural hurdles persist.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns low probabilities—led by Tunisia at 18%, Kuwait at 16%, and Saudi Arabia at 12%—to any holdout countries establishing diplomatic recognition of Israel by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled Abraham Accords expansion and no new bilateral breakthroughs in the past 30 days amid heightened Israel-Iran tensions and proxy conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria. Saudi normalization talks remain contingent on Palestinian statehood progress, with Riyadh citing domestic opposition, while nations like Pakistan and Indonesia face similar domestic and ideological barriers rooted in solidarity with Palestinians. Recent Western recognitions of Palestine, including by the UK and Canada in late 2025, have reinforced holdout stances. Traders eye potential US-brokered Gulf summits or de-escalations as catalysts, though structural hurdles persist.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns low probabilities—led by Tunisia at 18%, Kuwait at 16%, and Saudi Arabia at 12%—to any holdout countries establishing diplomatic recognition of Israel by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled Abraham Accords expansion and no new bilateral breakthroughs in the past 30 days amid heightened Israel-Iran tensions and proxy conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria. Saudi normalization talks remain contingent on Palestinian statehood progress, with Riyadh citing domestic opposition, while nations like Pakistan and Indonesia face similar domestic and ideological barriers rooted in solidarity with Palestinians. Recent Western recognitions of Palestine, including by the UK and Canada in late 2025, have reinforced holdout stances. Traders eye potential US-brokered Gulf summits or de-escalations as catalysts, though structural hurdles persist.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪些国家将在6月30日之前承认以色列？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 15 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"突尼斯"，概率为 11%，其次是"沙特阿拉伯"，概率为 10%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 11¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 11%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"哪些国家将在6月30日之前承认以色列？"已产生 $88.1K 的总交易量（自Nov 20, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪些国家将在6月30日之前承认以色列？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 15 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪些国家将在6月30日之前承认以色列？"的当前领先者是"突尼斯"，概率为 11%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 11%。紧随其后的结果是"沙特阿拉伯"，概率为 10%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪些国家将在6月30日之前承认以色列？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。