Market icon
地缘政治·以色列

哪些国家将在6月30日之前承认以色列？

Market icon
地缘政治·以色列

哪些国家将在6月30日之前承认以色列？

$88,739 交易量

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$88,739 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

朝鲜

$0 交易量

4%

Market icon

古巴

$0 交易量

6%

Market icon

沙特阿拉伯

$3,404 交易量

10%

Market icon

黎巴嫩

$0 交易量

6%

Market icon

阿富汗

$0 交易量

6%

Market icon

伊拉克

$0 交易量

5%

Market icon

巴基斯坦

$0 交易量

7%

Market icon

叙利亚

$4,318 交易量

9%

Market icon

委内瑞拉

$80,022 交易量

9%

Market icon

突尼斯

$0 交易量

11%

Market icon

科威特

$0 交易量

10%

Market icon

卡塔尔

$0 交易量

8%

Market icon

印尼

$0 交易量

7%

Market icon

马来西亚

$435 交易量

5%

Market icon

孟加拉国

$560 交易量

10%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of late March 2026, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low probabilities for additional countries recognizing Israel by June 30, driven by stalled diplomatic momentum amid ongoing Gaza and West Bank tensions. No formal recognitions have occurred since the 2020 Abraham Accords, with roughly 13-29 holdout UN members—primarily Algeria, Bangladesh, Brunei, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Maldives, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Yemen—maintaining opposition linked to the Palestinian issue. Recent signals include Indonesia's February indication of potential normalization contingent on progress toward Palestinian statehood and U.S. pressure on Saudi Arabia for ties, but a joint statement by over 85 states condemning Israeli West Bank actions has reinforced resistance. Netanyahu's reported pursuit of Saudi and Indonesian deals ahead of possible June elections adds uncertainty to the short timeline.

As of late March 2026, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low probabilities for additional countries recognizing Israel by June 30, driven by stalled diplomatic momentum amid ongoing Gaza and West Bank tensions. No formal recognitions have occurred since the 2020 Abraham Accords, with roughly 13-29 holdout UN members—primarily Algeria, Bangladesh, Brunei, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Maldives, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Yemen—maintaining opposition linked to the Palestinian issue. Recent signals include Indonesia's February indication of potential normalization contingent on progress toward Palestinian statehood and U.S. pressure on Saudi Arabia for ties, but a joint statement by over 85 states condemning Israeli West Bank actions has reinforced resistance. Netanyahu's reported pursuit of Saudi and Indonesian deals ahead of possible June elections adds uncertainty to the short timeline.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of late March 2026, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low probabilities for additional countries recognizing Israel by June 30, driven by stalled diplomatic momentum amid ongoing Gaza and West Bank tensions. No formal recognitions have occurred since the 2020 Abraham Accords, with roughly 13-29 holdout UN members—primarily Algeria, Bangladesh, Brunei, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Maldives, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Yemen—maintaining opposition linked to the Palestinian issue. Recent signals include Indonesia's February indication of potential normalization contingent on progress toward Palestinian statehood and U.S. pressure on Saudi Arabia for ties, but a joint statement by over 85 states condemning Israeli West Bank actions has reinforced resistance. Netanyahu's reported pursuit of Saudi and Indonesian deals ahead of possible June elections adds uncertainty to the short timeline.

As of late March 2026, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low probabilities for additional countries recognizing Israel by June 30, driven by stalled diplomatic momentum amid ongoing Gaza and West Bank tensions. No formal recognitions have occurred since the 2020 Abraham Accords, with roughly 13-29 holdout UN members—primarily Algeria, Bangladesh, Brunei, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Maldives, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Yemen—maintaining opposition linked to the Palestinian issue. Recent signals include Indonesia's February indication of potential normalization contingent on progress toward Palestinian statehood and U.S. pressure on Saudi Arabia for ties, but a joint statement by over 85 states condemning Israeli West Bank actions has reinforced resistance. Netanyahu's reported pursuit of Saudi and Indonesian deals ahead of possible June elections adds uncertainty to the short timeline.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪些国家将在6月30日之前承认以色列？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 15 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"突尼斯"，概率为 11%，其次是"沙特阿拉伯"，概率为 10%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 11¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 11%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"哪些国家将在6月30日之前承认以色列？"已产生 $88.7K 的总交易量（自Nov 20, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪些国家将在6月30日之前承认以色列？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 15 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪些国家将在6月30日之前承认以色列？"的当前领先者是"突尼斯"，概率为 11%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 11%。紧随其后的结果是"沙特阿拉伯"，概率为 10%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪些国家将在6月30日之前承认以色列？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。