Recent polls from Datum and Ipsos conducted in late March show Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori locked in a technical tie at 10-12% support each among over 35 candidates, fueling trader consensus for their 29.5% implied probability of advancing to the June runoff after the April 12 first-round vote. Extreme field fragmentation, with no contender exceeding 12% and centre-left Alfonso López Chau polling third at 6-8%, elevates "Other" outcomes to 40.3% as surprises remain possible amid voter frustration over crime and instability. Final televised debates concluded this week without major shifts, leaving right-wing frontrunners dominant but vulnerable to turnout in battleground regions and undecided voters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?
Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?
Other 40.3%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 30%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino 11%
López Chau & Fujimori 7%
$131,330 交易量
$131,330 交易量
2026-04-12
Other
40%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
30%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
11%
López Chau & Fujimori
7%
López Aliaga & Nieto
4%
Fujimori & Nieto
3%
López Aliaga & López Chau
2%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
2%
López Chau & Nieto
1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
<1%
Other 40.3%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 30%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino 11%
López Chau & Fujimori 7%
$131,330 交易量
$131,330 交易量
2026-04-12
Other
$3,343 交易量
40%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
$18,043 交易量
30%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
$6,991 交易量
11%
López Chau & Fujimori
$37,395 交易量
7%
López Aliaga & Nieto
$987 交易量
4%
Fujimori & Nieto
$58,834 交易量
3%
López Aliaga & López Chau
$1,538 交易量
2%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
$2,141 交易量
2%
López Chau & Nieto
$1,221 交易量
1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
$838 交易量
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Recent polls from Datum and Ipsos conducted in late March show Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori locked in a technical tie at 10-12% support each among over 35 candidates, fueling trader consensus for their 29.5% implied probability of advancing to the June runoff after the April 12 first-round vote. Extreme field fragmentation, with no contender exceeding 12% and centre-left Alfonso López Chau polling third at 6-8%, elevates "Other" outcomes to 40.3% as surprises remain possible amid voter frustration over crime and instability. Final televised debates concluded this week without major shifts, leaving right-wing frontrunners dominant but vulnerable to turnout in battleground regions and undecided voters.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
交易量
$131,330结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Recent polls from Datum and Ipsos conducted in late March show Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori locked in a technical tie at 10-12% support each among over 35 candidates, fueling trader consensus for their 29.5% implied probability of advancing to the June runoff after the April 12 first-round vote. Extreme field fragmentation, with no contender exceeding 12% and centre-left Alfonso López Chau polling third at 6-8%, elevates "Other" outcomes to 40.3% as surprises remain possible amid voter frustration over crime and instability. Final televised debates concluded this week without major shifts, leaving right-wing frontrunners dominant but vulnerable to turnout in battleground regions and undecided voters.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
交易量
$131,330结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from Datum and Ipsos conducted in late March show Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori locked in a technical tie at 10-12% support each among over 35 candidates, fueling trader consensus for their 29.5% implied probability of advancing to the June runoff after the April 12 first-round vote. Extreme field fragmentation, with no contender exceeding 12% and centre-left Alfonso López Chau polling third at 6-8%, elevates "Other" outcomes to 40.3% as surprises remain possible amid voter frustration over crime and instability. Final televised debates concluded this week without major shifts, leaving right-wing frontrunners dominant but vulnerable to turnout in battleground regions and undecided voters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题