Polymarket traders priced outcomes based on Donald Trump's rhetorical patterns during his March 2026 public appearances, including events with German Chancellor Merz on March 3, a press conference on March 9, a cabinet meeting on March 26, and the FII PRIORITY Summit on March 27, amid escalating US-Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Confirmed mentions in verified transcripts—such as "Barack Hussein Obama" and "Bitcoin"—drove those shares to 100%, reflecting trader consensus on his habit of referencing predecessors and economic policies. The market, now in review post-March 31 deadline, faces disputes like a partial "third term" utterance in a speech, pending UMA oracle vote, while terms like "Hottest Nation" appear in reports of his National Prayer address on March 17 but await official validation. Resolution hinges on precise phrasing in primary sources.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,183,374 交易量
2026-03-31
Third term
<1%
$1,183,374 交易量
Third term
$997,444 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Polymarket traders priced outcomes based on Donald Trump's rhetorical patterns during his March 2026 public appearances, including events with German Chancellor Merz on March 3, a press conference on March 9, a cabinet meeting on March 26, and the FII PRIORITY Summit on March 27, amid escalating US-Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Confirmed mentions in verified transcripts—such as "Barack Hussein Obama" and "Bitcoin"—drove those shares to 100%, reflecting trader consensus on his habit of referencing predecessors and economic policies. The market, now in review post-March 31 deadline, faces disputes like a partial "third term" utterance in a speech, pending UMA oracle vote, while terms like "Hottest Nation" appear in reports of his National Prayer address on March 17 but await official validation. Resolution hinges on precise phrasing in primary sources.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市场开放时间： Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
交易量
$1,183,374结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
有争议
已提议结果: No
有争议
最终审核
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Polymarket traders priced outcomes based on Donald Trump's rhetorical patterns during his March 2026 public appearances, including events with German Chancellor Merz on March 3, a press conference on March 9, a cabinet meeting on March 26, and the FII PRIORITY Summit on March 27, amid escalating US-Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Confirmed mentions in verified transcripts—such as "Barack Hussein Obama" and "Bitcoin"—drove those shares to 100%, reflecting trader consensus on his habit of referencing predecessors and economic policies. The market, now in review post-March 31 deadline, faces disputes like a partial "third term" utterance in a speech, pending UMA oracle vote, while terms like "Hottest Nation" appear in reports of his National Prayer address on March 17 but await official validation. Resolution hinges on precise phrasing in primary sources.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$1,183,374结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
有争议
已提议结果: No
有争议
最终审核
Polymarket traders priced outcomes based on Donald Trump's rhetorical patterns during his March 2026 public appearances, including events with German Chancellor Merz on March 3, a press conference on March 9, a cabinet meeting on March 26, and the FII PRIORITY Summit on March 27, amid escalating US-Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Confirmed mentions in verified transcripts—such as "Barack Hussein Obama" and "Bitcoin"—drove those shares to 100%, reflecting trader consensus on his habit of referencing predecessors and economic policies. The market, now in review post-March 31 deadline, faces disputes like a partial "third term" utterance in a speech, pending UMA oracle vote, while terms like "Hottest Nation" appear in reports of his National Prayer address on March 17 but await official validation. Resolution hinges on precise phrasing in primary sources.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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