The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% in the March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting—the second consecutive hold—amid steady 2.4% year-over-year CPI inflation for February and a weakening labor market, with unemployment ticking up to 4.4% and an unexpected 92,000 payroll job losses. FOMC dot plot projections show a median one 25-basis-point cut in 2026 to around 3.4% by year-end, easing further toward 2.6% in 2027, while CME FedWatch futures imply a flatter path near 3.7% through early 2027, reflecting trader caution on persistent service-sector price pressures. Polymarket sentiment aggregates real-capital bets pricing modest rate declines before 2027, with key catalysts including March CPI on April 10, nonfarm payrolls April 4, and the April 28-29 FOMC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于美联储利率将在2027年之前达到什么水平？
美联储利率将在2027年之前达到什么水平？
$1,266,937 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 5.5%
4%
↑ 5.25%
6%
↑ 5.0%
3%
↑ 4.75%
4%
↑ 4.5%
5%
↑ 4.25%
10%
↓ 3.25%
64%
↓ 3.0%
35%
↓ 2.75%
20%
↓ 2.5%
15%
↓ 2.25%
11%
↓ 2.0%
13%
↓ 1.75%
9%
↓ 1.5%
11%
↓ 1.25%
26%
↓ 1.0%
10%
↓ 0.75%
9%
↓ 0.5%
6%
↓ 0.25%
8%
↓ 0%
6%
$1,266,937 交易量
↑ 5.5%
$42,156 交易量
4%
↑ 5.25%
$135,436 交易量
6%
↑ 5.0%
$9,683 交易量
3%
↑ 4.75%
$65,440 交易量
4%
↑ 4.5%
$9,813 交易量
5%
↑ 4.25%
$21,642 交易量
10%
↓ 3.25%
$52,587 交易量
64%
↓ 3.0%
$214,644 交易量
35%
↓ 2.75%
$250,226 交易量
20%
↓ 2.5%
$171,356 交易量
15%
↓ 2.25%
$21,904 交易量
11%
↓ 2.0%
$14,496 交易量
13%
↓ 1.75%
$5,943 交易量
9%
↓ 1.5%
$24,836 交易量
11%
↓ 1.25%
$893 交易量
26%
↓ 1.0%
$0 交易量
10%
↓ 0.75%
$388 交易量
9%
↓ 0.5%
$89,217 交易量
6%
↓ 0.25%
$117,158 交易量
8%
↓ 0%
$10,116 交易量
6%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% in the March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting—the second consecutive hold—amid steady 2.4% year-over-year CPI inflation for February and a weakening labor market, with unemployment ticking up to 4.4% and an unexpected 92,000 payroll job losses. FOMC dot plot projections show a median one 25-basis-point cut in 2026 to around 3.4% by year-end, easing further toward 2.6% in 2027, while CME FedWatch futures imply a flatter path near 3.7% through early 2027, reflecting trader caution on persistent service-sector price pressures. Polymarket sentiment aggregates real-capital bets pricing modest rate declines before 2027, with key catalysts including March CPI on April 10, nonfarm payrolls April 4, and the April 28-29 FOMC.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
市场开放时间： Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
交易量
$1,266,937结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% in the March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting—the second consecutive hold—amid steady 2.4% year-over-year CPI inflation for February and a weakening labor market, with unemployment ticking up to 4.4% and an unexpected 92,000 payroll job losses. FOMC dot plot projections show a median one 25-basis-point cut in 2026 to around 3.4% by year-end, easing further toward 2.6% in 2027, while CME FedWatch futures imply a flatter path near 3.7% through early 2027, reflecting trader caution on persistent service-sector price pressures. Polymarket sentiment aggregates real-capital bets pricing modest rate declines before 2027, with key catalysts including March CPI on April 10, nonfarm payrolls April 4, and the April 28-29 FOMC.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
交易量
$1,266,937结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% in the March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting—the second consecutive hold—amid steady 2.4% year-over-year CPI inflation for February and a weakening labor market, with unemployment ticking up to 4.4% and an unexpected 92,000 payroll job losses. FOMC dot plot projections show a median one 25-basis-point cut in 2026 to around 3.4% by year-end, easing further toward 2.6% in 2027, while CME FedWatch futures imply a flatter path near 3.7% through early 2027, reflecting trader caution on persistent service-sector price pressures. Polymarket sentiment aggregates real-capital bets pricing modest rate declines before 2027, with key catalysts including March CPI on April 10, nonfarm payrolls April 4, and the April 28-29 FOMC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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