Market icon

Next UK prime minister?

Market icon

Next UK prime minister?

Rishi Sunak 100.0%

Keir Starmer 100.0%

Priti Patel 100.0%

Penny Mordaunt 100.0%

Polymarket

$2,397,663 交易量

Rishi Sunak 100.0%

Keir Starmer 100.0%

Priti Patel 100.0%

Penny Mordaunt 100.0%

Polymarket

$2,397,663 交易量

Market icon

Rishi Sunak

$177,518 交易量

No

Market icon

Keir Starmer

$295,471 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Priti Patel

$168,878 交易量

No

Market icon

Penny Mordaunt

$174,547 交易量

No

Market icon

Grant Shapps

$187,927 交易量

No

Market icon

Robert Jenrick

$137,463 交易量

No

Market icon

Kemi Badenoch

$138,971 交易量

No

Market icon

Tom Tugendhat

$147,509 交易量

No

Market icon

Boris Johnson

$218,154 交易量

No

Market icon

James Cleverly

$204,562 交易量

No

Market icon

Suella Braverman

$237,295 交易量

No

Market icon

Jeremy Hunt

$176,795 交易量

No

Market icon

Other

$132,573 交易量

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Priti Patel is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Penny Mordaunt is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grant Shapps is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert Jenrick is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kemi Badenoch is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Tugendhat is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Boris Johnson is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Cleverly is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Suella Braverman is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeremy Hunt is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any person who is not Rishi Sunak, Keir Starmer, Priti Patel, Penny Mordaunt, Grant Shapps, Robert Jenrick, Kemi Badenoch, Tom Tugendhat, Boris Johnson, James Cleverly, Suella Braverman, or Jeremy Hunt is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$2,397,663
结束日期
2024-07-04
市场开放时间
May 22, 2024, 2:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Priti Patel is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Penny Mordaunt is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grant Shapps is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert Jenrick is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kemi Badenoch is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Tugendhat is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Boris Johnson is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Cleverly is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Suella Braverman is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeremy Hunt is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any person who is not Rishi Sunak, Keir Starmer, Priti Patel, Penny Mordaunt, Grant Shapps, Robert Jenrick, Kemi Badenoch, Tom Tugendhat, Boris Johnson, James Cleverly, Suella Braverman, or Jeremy Hunt is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$2,397,663
结束日期
2024-07-04
市场开放时间
May 22, 2024, 2:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Next UK prime minister?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 13 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Keir Starmer",概率为 100%,其次是"Rishi Sunak",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Next UK prime minister?"已产生 $2.4 million 的总交易量(自May 22, 2024市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Next UK prime minister?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 13 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Next UK prime minister?"的当前领先者是"Keir Starmer",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Rishi Sunak",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Next UK prime minister?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。