A federal judge's March 31 preliminary injunction halting President Trump's $400 million White House East Wing ballroom construction—citing lack of congressional approval and procedural violations—has solidified trader consensus at 92% for "No" unblocking by April 30. Despite the National Capital Planning Commission's April 2 design approval and the administration's emergency appeal to an appeals court arguing security risks, the legal battle remains unresolved, with appeals processes historically extending weeks or months amid public opposition exceeding 32,000 comments. Swift reversal appears unlikely without higher court intervention, though late-breaking rulings could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-04-30
最新
最新
2026-04-30
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge's March 31 preliminary injunction halting President Trump's $400 million White House East Wing ballroom construction—citing lack of congressional approval and procedural violations—has solidified trader consensus at 92% for "No" unblocking by April 30. Despite the National Capital Planning Commission's April 2 design approval and the administration's emergency appeal to an appeals court arguing security risks, the legal battle remains unresolved, with appeals processes historically extending weeks or months amid public opposition exceeding 32,000 comments. Swift reversal appears unlikely without higher court intervention, though late-breaking rulings could shift odds.
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
交易量
$3,422结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge's March 31 preliminary injunction halting President Trump's $400 million White House East Wing ballroom construction—citing lack of congressional approval and procedural violations—has solidified trader consensus at 92% for "No" unblocking by April 30. Despite the National Capital Planning Commission's April 2 design approval and the administration's emergency appeal to an appeals court arguing security risks, the legal battle remains unresolved, with appeals processes historically extending weeks or months amid public opposition exceeding 32,000 comments. Swift reversal appears unlikely without higher court intervention, though late-breaking rulings could shift odds.
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,422结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A federal judge's March 31 preliminary injunction halting President Trump's $400 million White House East Wing ballroom construction—citing lack of congressional approval and procedural violations—has solidified trader consensus at 92% for "No" unblocking by April 30. Despite the National Capital Planning Commission's April 2 design approval and the administration's emergency appeal to an appeals court arguing security risks, the legal battle remains unresolved, with appeals processes historically extending weeks or months amid public opposition exceeding 32,000 comments. Swift reversal appears unlikely without higher court intervention, though late-breaking rulings could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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