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Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday?

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Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday?

0% chance
Polymarket

$164 交易量

0% chance
Polymarket

$164 交易量

This is a market on whether Trump has >50% chance of winning the Republican nomination after Super Tuesday (March 5), according to the market https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-j-trump-win-the-us-2024-republican-presidential-nomination-1. If the average price of Trump Yes shares is above 50¢ on March 6, 2024, ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." To calculate the average price, the "Yes" midpoint price (halfway point between the best bid and best ask) will be captured exactly once at a random time in every 10 minute interval. This will be repeated for every 10 minute interval starting on March 6, 2024, 12:00 AM ET. The average of all of the recorded prices will then be calculated - this will be defined as the average price of “Yes” shares on March 6, 2024, ET. The recorded prices will be viewable here, once the date is March 6, 2024 and samples have been taken: [to be edited in with data link]. The average price will also be memorialized on the Polymarket description once all samples have been taken.

This is a market on whether Trump has >50% chance of winning the Republican nomination after Super Tuesday (March 5), according to the market https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-j-trump-win-the-us-2024-republican-presidential-nomination-1. If the average price of Trump Yes shares is above 50¢ on March 6, 2024, ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

To calculate the average price, the "Yes" midpoint price (halfway point between the best bid and best ask) will be captured exactly once at a random time in every 10 minute interval. This will be repeated for every 10 minute interval starting on March 6, 2024, 12:00 AM ET. The average of all of the recorded prices will then be calculated - this will be defined as the average price of “Yes” shares on March 6, 2024, ET.

The recorded prices will be viewable here, once the date is March 6, 2024 and samples have been taken: [to be edited in with data link]. The average price will also be memorialized on the Polymarket description once all samples have been taken.
交易量
$164
结束日期
Mar 6, 2024
市场开放时间
Dec 21, 2023, 12:53 PM ET
This is a market on whether Trump has >50% chance of winning the Republican nomination after Super Tuesday (March 5), according to the market https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-j-trump-win-the-us-2024-republican-presidential-nomination-1. If the average price of Trump Yes shares is above 50¢ on March 6, 2024, ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." To calculate the average price, the "Yes" midpoint price (halfway point between the best bid and best ask) will be captured exactly once at a random time in every 10 minute interval. This will be repeated for every 10 minute interval starting on March 6, 2024, 12:00 AM ET. The average of all of the recorded prices will then be calculated - this will be defined as the average price of “Yes” shares on March 6, 2024, ET. The recorded prices will be viewable here, once the date is March 6, 2024 and samples have been taken: [to be edited in with data link]. The average price will also be memorialized on the Polymarket description once all samples have been taken.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

This is a market on whether Trump has >50% chance of winning the Republican nomination after Super Tuesday (March 5), according to the market https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-j-trump-win-the-us-2024-republican-presidential-nomination-1. If the average price of Trump Yes shares is above 50¢ on March 6, 2024, ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." To calculate the average price, the "Yes" midpoint price (halfway point between the best bid and best ask) will be captured exactly once at a random time in every 10 minute interval. This will be repeated for every 10 minute interval starting on March 6, 2024, 12:00 AM ET. The average of all of the recorded prices will then be calculated - this will be defined as the average price of “Yes” shares on March 6, 2024, ET. The recorded prices will be viewable here, once the date is March 6, 2024 and samples have been taken: [to be edited in with data link]. The average price will also be memorialized on the Polymarket description once all samples have been taken.

This is a market on whether Trump has >50% chance of winning the Republican nomination after Super Tuesday (March 5), according to the market https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-j-trump-win-the-us-2024-republican-presidential-nomination-1. If the average price of Trump Yes shares is above 50¢ on March 6, 2024, ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

To calculate the average price, the "Yes" midpoint price (halfway point between the best bid and best ask) will be captured exactly once at a random time in every 10 minute interval. This will be repeated for every 10 minute interval starting on March 6, 2024, 12:00 AM ET. The average of all of the recorded prices will then be calculated - this will be defined as the average price of “Yes” shares on March 6, 2024, ET.

The recorded prices will be viewable here, once the date is March 6, 2024 and samples have been taken: [to be edited in with data link]. The average price will also be memorialized on the Polymarket description once all samples have been taken.
交易量
$164
结束日期
Mar 6, 2024
市场开放时间
Dec 21, 2023, 12:53 PM ET
This is a market on whether Trump has >50% chance of winning the Republican nomination after Super Tuesday (March 5), according to the market https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-j-trump-win-the-us-2024-republican-presidential-nomination-1. If the average price of Trump Yes shares is above 50¢ on March 6, 2024, ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." To calculate the average price, the "Yes" midpoint price (halfway point between the best bid and best ask) will be captured exactly once at a random time in every 10 minute interval. This will be repeated for every 10 minute interval starting on March 6, 2024, 12:00 AM ET. The average of all of the recorded prices will then be calculated - this will be defined as the average price of “Yes” shares on March 6, 2024, ET. The recorded prices will be viewable here, once the date is March 6, 2024 and samples have been taken: [to be edited in with data link]. The average price will also be memorialized on the Polymarket description once all samples have been taken.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 100%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 100¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Dec 21, 2023上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday?"的当前概率为 100%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 100%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。