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政治·主要

罗德岛州州长共和党初选获胜者

Market icon
政治·主要

罗德岛州州长共和党初选获胜者

亚伦·古基恩 64.6%

伊莱恩·佩利诺 19%

罗伯特·雷蒙多 9.0%

阿什莉·卡鲁斯 4.7%

Polymarket
NEW

亚伦·古基恩 64.6%

伊莱恩·佩利诺 19%

罗伯特·雷蒙多 9.0%

阿什莉·卡鲁斯 4.7%

Polymarket
NEW

亚伦·古基恩

$0 交易量

54%

伊莱恩·佩利诺

$0 交易量

27%

罗伯特·雷蒙多

$0 交易量

9%

阿什莉·卡鲁斯

$0 交易量

5%

杰西卡·德拉克鲁兹

$0 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Aaron Guckian at 54% implied probability to win Rhode Island's Republican gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by his early December 2025 campaign launch as the first major declared contender, prior 2022 statewide bid for lieutenant governor, and government experience from the Carcieri administration. Elaine Pelino holds second at 28%, buoyed by her grassroots appeal as a former actress advocating affordability and recent appearances at GOP forums. A February UNH poll showed 62% of likely GOP primary voters open to Ashley Kalus returning as 2022 nominee, yet her 4.7% odds reflect no formal announcement; Robert Raimondo and Jessica de la Cruz trail amid limited momentum. No public primary polls exist post-February, leaving room for endorsements, fundraising disclosures, or shifts before summer.

Trader consensus favors Aaron Guckian at 54% implied probability to win Rhode Island's Republican gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by his early December 2025 campaign launch as the first major declared contender, prior 2022 statewide bid for lieutenant governor, and government experience from the Carcieri administration. Elaine Pelino holds second at 28%, buoyed by her grassroots appeal as a former actress advocating affordability and recent appearances at GOP forums. A February UNH poll showed 62% of likely GOP primary voters open to Ashley Kalus returning as 2022 nominee, yet her 4.7% odds reflect no formal announcement; Robert Raimondo and Jessica de la Cruz trail amid limited momentum. No public primary polls exist post-February, leaving room for endorsements, fundraising disclosures, or shifts before summer.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Aaron Guckian at 54% implied probability to win Rhode Island's Republican gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by his early December 2025 campaign launch as the first major declared contender, prior 2022 statewide bid for lieutenant governor, and government experience from the Carcieri administration. Elaine Pelino holds second at 28%, buoyed by her grassroots appeal as a former actress advocating affordability and recent appearances at GOP forums. A February UNH poll showed 62% of likely GOP primary voters open to Ashley Kalus returning as 2022 nominee, yet her 4.7% odds reflect no formal announcement; Robert Raimondo and Jessica de la Cruz trail amid limited momentum. No public primary polls exist post-February, leaving room for endorsements, fundraising disclosures, or shifts before summer.

Trader consensus favors Aaron Guckian at 54% implied probability to win Rhode Island's Republican gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by his early December 2025 campaign launch as the first major declared contender, prior 2022 statewide bid for lieutenant governor, and government experience from the Carcieri administration. Elaine Pelino holds second at 28%, buoyed by her grassroots appeal as a former actress advocating affordability and recent appearances at GOP forums. A February UNH poll showed 62% of likely GOP primary voters open to Ashley Kalus returning as 2022 nominee, yet her 4.7% odds reflect no formal announcement; Robert Raimondo and Jessica de la Cruz trail amid limited momentum. No public primary polls exist post-February, leaving room for endorsements, fundraising disclosures, or shifts before summer.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"罗德岛州州长共和党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"亚伦·古基恩"，概率为 54%，其次是"伊莱恩·佩利诺"，概率为 27%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 54¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 54%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"罗德岛州州长共和党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Dec 11, 2025上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"罗德岛州州长共和党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"罗德岛州州长共和党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"亚伦·古基恩"，概率为 54%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 54%。紧随其后的结果是"伊莱恩·佩利诺"，概率为 27%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"罗德岛州州长共和党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。