Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads Polymarket trader consensus at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, fueled by his rousing reception at CPAC on March 28 where he rallied the MAGA base on "Make America Healthy Again" initiatives against Big Pharma influence and chronic disease epidemics. Vice President J.D. Vance holds steady at 37%, buoyed by incumbency advantage and strong polling leads among GOP primary voters, though recent straw polls show slight slippage amid administration dynamics. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 21% reflects rising buzz from reports of Trump donors favoring him over Vance. With no primaries until 2027, cabinet performances and base enthusiasm shape early positioning in this post-Trump field bound by term limits.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于J.D. Vance 36.8%
分组项标题：马科·鲁比奥 20.8%
塔克·卡尔森 4.9%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯 2.9%
$486,158,919 交易量
$486,158,919 交易量
J.D. Vance
37%
分组项标题：马科·鲁比奥
21%
塔克·卡尔森
5%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯
3%
唐纳德·特朗普
2%
格伦·扬金
2%
托马斯·马西
2%
唐纳德·特朗普 Jr.
2%
Rand Paul
1%
维克·拉马斯瓦米
1%
伊万卡·特朗普
1%
泰德·克鲁茨
1%
分组项标题：埃隆·马斯克
1%
玛乔里·泰勒·格林
1%
分组项标题：妮基·黑利
1%
格雷格·艾博特
1%
塔尔西·加巴德尔
1%
罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世
1%
分组项标题：马特·盖茨
1%
埃里克·特朗普
1%
莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯
1%
布赖恩·肯普
1%
凯蒂·布里特
1%
克里斯蒂·诺姆
1%
皮特·赫格塞斯
1%
分组项标题：Elise Stefanik
1%
乔什·霍利
1%
约翰·桑恩
1%
乔·肯特
1%
分组项标题：汤姆·布雷迪
1%
斯蒂夫·班农
1%
拜伦·唐纳斯
1%
金·卡戴珊
1%
埃里卡·柯克
1%
迈克·彭斯
1%
J.D. Vance 36.8%
分组项标题：马科·鲁比奥 20.8%
塔克·卡尔森 4.9%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯 2.9%
$486,158,919 交易量
$486,158,919 交易量
J.D. Vance
37%
分组项标题：马科·鲁比奥
21%
塔克·卡尔森
5%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯
3%
唐纳德·特朗普
2%
格伦·扬金
2%
托马斯·马西
2%
唐纳德·特朗普 Jr.
2%
Rand Paul
1%
维克·拉马斯瓦米
1%
伊万卡·特朗普
1%
泰德·克鲁茨
1%
分组项标题：埃隆·马斯克
1%
玛乔里·泰勒·格林
1%
分组项标题：妮基·黑利
1%
格雷格·艾博特
1%
塔尔西·加巴德尔
1%
罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世
1%
分组项标题：马特·盖茨
1%
埃里克·特朗普
1%
莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯
1%
布赖恩·肯普
1%
凯蒂·布里特
1%
克里斯蒂·诺姆
1%
皮特·赫格塞斯
1%
分组项标题：Elise Stefanik
1%
乔什·霍利
1%
约翰·桑恩
1%
乔·肯特
1%
分组项标题：汤姆·布雷迪
1%
斯蒂夫·班农
1%
拜伦·唐纳斯
1%
金·卡戴珊
1%
埃里卡·柯克
1%
迈克·彭斯
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads Polymarket trader consensus at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, fueled by his rousing reception at CPAC on March 28 where he rallied the MAGA base on "Make America Healthy Again" initiatives against Big Pharma influence and chronic disease epidemics. Vice President J.D. Vance holds steady at 37%, buoyed by incumbency advantage and strong polling leads among GOP primary voters, though recent straw polls show slight slippage amid administration dynamics. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 21% reflects rising buzz from reports of Trump donors favoring him over Vance. With no primaries until 2027, cabinet performances and base enthusiasm shape early positioning in this post-Trump field bound by term limits.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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