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葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮获胜者

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葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮获胜者

安东尼奥·若泽·塞古罗(无党籍) 100.0%

乔安娜·阿马拉尔·迪亚斯(ADN) <1%

安德烈·文图拉(CH) <1%

Aristides Teixeira(无党派) <1%

Polymarket

$3,866,362 交易量

安东尼奥·若泽·塞古罗(无党籍) 100.0%

乔安娜·阿马拉尔·迪亚斯(ADN) <1%

安德烈·文图拉(CH) <1%

Aristides Teixeira(无党派) <1%

Polymarket

$3,866,362 交易量

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乔安娜·阿马拉尔·迪亚斯(ADN)

$25,873 交易量

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安德烈·文图拉(CH)

$1,035,636 交易量

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Aristides Teixeira(无党派)

$24,956 交易量

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路易斯·马尔克斯·门德斯(社会民主党)

$359,891 交易量

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo(无党派)

$316,566 交易量

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维多里诺·席尔瓦(无党籍)

$29,668 交易量

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安东尼奥·菲利佩(葡共)

$28,366 交易量

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若泽·卡多索(PLS)

$117,875 交易量

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若热·平托

$18,618 交易量

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D人选

$12,586 交易量

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若昂·科特林·菲格雷多(自由倡议党)

$566,344 交易量

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保罗·波尔塔斯(CDS)

$23,034 交易量

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蒂姆·维埃拉(无党籍)

$43,006 交易量

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安德烈·佩斯塔纳(无党籍)

$18,480 交易量

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奥兰多·克鲁兹(无党籍)

$34,550 交易量

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曼努埃拉·马尼奥(无党派)

$72,477 交易量

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佩德罗·蒂诺科·德·法里亚(无党派)

$20,654 交易量

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安东尼奥·若泽·塞古罗(无党籍)

$740,603 交易量

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Ângela Maryah(无党派)

$27,544 交易量

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劳尔·佩雷斯特雷洛(无党派)

$25,377 交易量

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佩德罗·帕索斯·科埃略(社会民主党)

$258,295 交易量

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C人

$21,951 交易量

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鲁伊·莫雷拉(无党派)

$22,237 交易量

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卡塔丽娜·马丁斯(左翼联盟)

$21,776 交易量

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
交易量
$3,866,362
结束日期
Jan 18, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 3, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 24 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"安东尼奥·若泽·塞古罗(无党籍)",概率为 100%,其次是"乔安娜·阿马拉尔·迪亚斯(ADN)",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮获胜者"已产生 $3.9 million 的总交易量(自Dec 3, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 24 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮获胜者"的当前领先者是"安东尼奥·若泽·塞古罗(无党籍)",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"乔安娜·阿马拉尔·迪亚斯(ADN)",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。