Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Keiko Fujimori as the frontrunner for Peru's April 12 first-round presidential plurality at 41%, reflecting her edge in late-March polls like Datum (13%) amid a fragmented 36-candidate field where no one nears 50% for outright victory. Rafael López Aliaga trails at 28.5%, buoyed by strong showings in Ipsos (17.3%) and CPI surveys, as right-wing candidates dominate voter preferences driven by frustration over a decade of political instability, multiple interim presidents, and rising crime. Recent post-debate polls from March 21-27 show the pair in a statistical tie with 10-17% support and over 20% undecided voters, heightening runoff likelihood between them; lower-tier candidates like Roberto Sánchez Palomino and Carlos Álvarez linger as spoilers in the highly volatile race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner
Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner
Keiko Fujimori 41%
Rafael López Aliaga 28%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 13.2%
Carlos Álvarez 8.8%
$90,708 交易量
$90,708 交易量
Keiko Fujimori
41%
Rafael López Aliaga
28%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
13%
Carlos Álvarez
9%
Alfonso López Chau
5%
Mesías Guevara
4%
Jorge Nieto
3%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
José Williams
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 41%
Rafael López Aliaga 28%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 13.2%
Carlos Álvarez 8.8%
$90,708 交易量
$90,708 交易量
Keiko Fujimori
41%
Rafael López Aliaga
28%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
13%
Carlos Álvarez
9%
Alfonso López Chau
5%
Mesías Guevara
4%
Jorge Nieto
3%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
José Williams
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Keiko Fujimori as the frontrunner for Peru's April 12 first-round presidential plurality at 41%, reflecting her edge in late-March polls like Datum (13%) amid a fragmented 36-candidate field where no one nears 50% for outright victory. Rafael López Aliaga trails at 28.5%, buoyed by strong showings in Ipsos (17.3%) and CPI surveys, as right-wing candidates dominate voter preferences driven by frustration over a decade of political instability, multiple interim presidents, and rising crime. Recent post-debate polls from March 21-27 show the pair in a statistical tie with 10-17% support and over 20% undecided voters, heightening runoff likelihood between them; lower-tier candidates like Roberto Sánchez Palomino and Carlos Álvarez linger as spoilers in the highly volatile race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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