Emmanuel Grégoire's near-certain trader consensus in the Paris mayoral election reflects his entrenched position as first deputy mayor under Anne Hidalgo and the Socialist Party's anointed successor, reinforced by consistent polling leads over rivals like Rachida Dati of Les Républicains and Sophia Chikirou of La France Insoumise. Paris' left-leaning electorate and PS organizational strength underpin this dominance, with Éric Grégoire's secondary odds signaling limited independent traction. Challenges could arise from a unified center-right alliance, Hidalgo's unpopularity spilling over, or national Macronist surges eroding left unity ahead of the 2026 municipal vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于埃马纽埃尔·格雷戈尔 100.0%
拉希达·达蒂 <1%
皮埃尔-伊夫·布尔纳泽尔 <1%
分组项标题：David Belliard <1%
$6 交易量
$6 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
拉希达·达蒂
否
皮埃尔-伊夫·布尔纳泽尔
否
分组项标题：David Belliard
否
索菲亚·奇基鲁
否
蒂埃里·马里亚尼
否
莎拉·克纳福
否
埃马纽埃尔·格雷戈尔
是
埃马纽埃尔·格雷戈尔 100.0%
拉希达·达蒂 <1%
皮埃尔-伊夫·布尔纳泽尔 <1%
分组项标题：David Belliard <1%
$6 交易量
$6 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
拉希达·达蒂
$0 交易量
否
皮埃尔-伊夫·布尔纳泽尔
$0 交易量
否
分组项标题：David Belliard
$0 交易量
否
索菲亚·奇基鲁
$0 交易量
否
蒂埃里·马里亚尼
$0 交易量
否
莎拉·克纳福
$0 交易量
否
埃马纽埃尔·格雷戈尔
$0 交易量
是
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Emmanuel Grégoire's near-certain trader consensus in the Paris mayoral election reflects his entrenched position as first deputy mayor under Anne Hidalgo and the Socialist Party's anointed successor, reinforced by consistent polling leads over rivals like Rachida Dati of Les Républicains and Sophia Chikirou of La France Insoumise. Paris' left-leaning electorate and PS organizational strength underpin this dominance, with Éric Grégoire's secondary odds signaling limited independent traction. Challenges could arise from a unified center-right alliance, Hidalgo's unpopularity spilling over, or national Macronist surges eroding left unity ahead of the 2026 municipal vote.
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
市场开放时间： Oct 22, 2025, 7:49 PM ET
交易量
$6结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 22, 2025, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Emmanuel Grégoire's near-certain trader consensus in the Paris mayoral election reflects his entrenched position as first deputy mayor under Anne Hidalgo and the Socialist Party's anointed successor, reinforced by consistent polling leads over rivals like Rachida Dati of Les Républicains and Sophia Chikirou of La France Insoumise. Paris' left-leaning electorate and PS organizational strength underpin this dominance, with Éric Grégoire's secondary odds signaling limited independent traction. Challenges could arise from a unified center-right alliance, Hidalgo's unpopularity spilling over, or national Macronist surges eroding left unity ahead of the 2026 municipal vote.
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$6结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 22, 2025, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Emmanuel Grégoire's near-certain trader consensus in the Paris mayoral election reflects his entrenched position as first deputy mayor under Anne Hidalgo and the Socialist Party's anointed successor, reinforced by consistent polling leads over rivals like Rachida Dati of Les Républicains and Sophia Chikirou of La France Insoumise. Paris' left-leaning electorate and PS organizational strength underpin this dominance, with Éric Grégoire's secondary odds signaling limited independent traction. Challenges could arise from a unified center-right alliance, Hidalgo's unpopularity spilling over, or national Macronist surges eroding left unity ahead of the 2026 municipal vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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