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选举·宾夕法尼亚州小学

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

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选举·宾夕法尼亚州小学

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bob Brooks 69%

Ryan Crosswell 18%

Lamont McClure 8%

Lewis Shupe 4.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Bob Brooks 69%

Ryan Crosswell 18%

Lamont McClure 8%

Lewis Shupe 4.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Bob Brooks

$540 交易量

69%

Ryan Crosswell

$912 交易量

18%

Lamont McClure

$963 交易量

8%

Lewis Shupe

$1,333 交易量

4%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$2,842 交易量

4%

Aiden Gonzalez

$341 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Bob Brooks at 69% implied probability to win the PA-07 Democratic primary on May 19, driven by his firefighter union leadership, early endorsement from Gov. Josh Shapiro, and recent boosts including the Working Families Party nod on March 3, a Pete Buttigieg campaign event, and pro-Brooks ads plus $52,000 super PAC spending highlighting Shapiro's support in the past week. Ryan Crosswell trails at 18% on strong fundraising and Marine-prosecutor credentials, though a March 17 FEC complaint alleging illegal "redboxing" coordination with a super PAC has introduced uncertainty. Lamont McClure's prior Northampton County executive role sustains 8% support in this Lehigh Valley swing district battleground, with others fragmented amid undecided voters per recent surveys.

Trader consensus favors Bob Brooks at 69% implied probability to win the PA-07 Democratic primary on May 19, driven by his firefighter union leadership, early endorsement from Gov. Josh Shapiro, and recent boosts including the Working Families Party nod on March 3, a Pete Buttigieg campaign event, and pro-Brooks ads plus $52,000 super PAC spending highlighting Shapiro's support in the past week. Ryan Crosswell trails at 18% on strong fundraising and Marine-prosecutor credentials, though a March 17 FEC complaint alleging illegal "redboxing" coordination with a super PAC has introduced uncertainty. Lamont McClure's prior Northampton County executive role sustains 8% support in this Lehigh Valley swing district battleground, with others fragmented amid undecided voters per recent surveys.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Bob Brooks at 69% implied probability to win the PA-07 Democratic primary on May 19, driven by his firefighter union leadership, early endorsement from Gov. Josh Shapiro, and recent boosts including the Working Families Party nod on March 3, a Pete Buttigieg campaign event, and pro-Brooks ads plus $52,000 super PAC spending highlighting Shapiro's support in the past week. Ryan Crosswell trails at 18% on strong fundraising and Marine-prosecutor credentials, though a March 17 FEC complaint alleging illegal "redboxing" coordination with a super PAC has introduced uncertainty. Lamont McClure's prior Northampton County executive role sustains 8% support in this Lehigh Valley swing district battleground, with others fragmented amid undecided voters per recent surveys.

Trader consensus favors Bob Brooks at 69% implied probability to win the PA-07 Democratic primary on May 19, driven by his firefighter union leadership, early endorsement from Gov. Josh Shapiro, and recent boosts including the Working Families Party nod on March 3, a Pete Buttigieg campaign event, and pro-Brooks ads plus $52,000 super PAC spending highlighting Shapiro's support in the past week. Ryan Crosswell trails at 18% on strong fundraising and Marine-prosecutor credentials, though a March 17 FEC complaint alleging illegal "redboxing" coordination with a super PAC has introduced uncertainty. Lamont McClure's prior Northampton County executive role sustains 8% support in this Lehigh Valley swing district battleground, with others fragmented amid undecided voters per recent surveys.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Bob Brooks"，概率为 69%，其次是"Ryan Crosswell"，概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 69¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 69%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Mar 20, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner"的当前领先者是"Bob Brooks"，概率为 69%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 69%。紧随其后的结果是"Ryan Crosswell"，概率为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。