Recent municipal elections concluding March 22 boosted Édouard Philippe's profile after his reelection as Le Havre mayor—a precondition for his Horizons party presidential bid—positioning him as the primary center-right challenger to National Rally president Jordan Bardella in trader consensus. Latest Elabe polling from March 25-27 shows Bardella leading the first round at 38% versus Philippe's 25.5%, with fragmented left support for Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 12% preventing consolidation. Runoff scenarios remain tight, with Philippe edging Bardella 51.5-53% in head-to-heads, fueling the neck-and-neck market odds. Formal candidacies, legislative votes, or economic catalysts could tip the balance before the April 2027 first round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于爱德华·菲利普 24%
分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉 24%
让-吕克·梅朗雄 9%
分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞 8%
$23,298,355 交易量
$23,298,355 交易量
Apr 30, 2027
爱德华·菲利普
24%
分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉
24%
让-吕克·梅朗雄
9%
分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞
8%
多米尼克·德维尔潘
6%
Raphaël Glucksmann
4%
弗朗索瓦·奥朗德
4%
Bruno Retailleau
4%
莎拉·克纳福
3%
加布里埃尔·阿塔尔
3%
大卫·利斯纳德
3%
塞巴斯蒂安·勒科尔努
2%
分组条目标题：让-卡斯泰
1%
热拉尔·达马南
1%
埃里克·泽穆尔
1%
胡安·布兰科
1%
Bernard Cazeneuve
1%
分组项标题：弗朗索瓦·鲁芬
1%
分组项标题：Marine Tondelier
<1%
尼古拉斯·杜邦-奈昂
<1%
洛朗·沃奎耶
<1%
Fabien Roussel
<1%
分组项标题：弗朗索瓦·阿塞勒诺
<1%
瓦莱丽·佩雷斯
<1%
伊丽莎白·博恩
<1%
分组项标题：曼努埃尔·邦巴尔
<1%
泽维尔·贝特朗
<1%
奥利维耶·福尔
<1%
Ségolène Royal
<1%
Clémentine Autain
<1%
米歇尔·巴尼耶
<1%
弗朗索瓦·贝鲁
<1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
<1%
克莱芒斯·盖特
<1%
Carole Delga
<1%
分组项标题：马蒂尔德·帕诺特
<1%
爱德华·菲利普 24%
分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉 24%
让-吕克·梅朗雄 9%
分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞 8%
$23,298,355 交易量
$23,298,355 交易量
Apr 30, 2027
爱德华·菲利普
$373,280 交易量
24%
分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉
$593,875 交易量
24%
让-吕克·梅朗雄
$211,560 交易量
9%
分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞
$280,441 交易量
8%
多米尼克·德维尔潘
$784,947 交易量
6%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$438,294 交易量
4%
弗朗索瓦·奥朗德
$532,803 交易量
4%
Bruno Retailleau
$873,008 交易量
4%
莎拉·克纳福
$934,703 交易量
3%
加布里埃尔·阿塔尔
$818,895 交易量
3%
大卫·利斯纳德
$644,548 交易量
3%
塞巴斯蒂安·勒科尔努
$573,344 交易量
2%
分组条目标题：让-卡斯泰
$439,617 交易量
1%
热拉尔·达马南
$301,993 交易量
1%
埃里克·泽穆尔
$327,593 交易量
1%
胡安·布兰科
$246,779 交易量
1%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$279,082 交易量
1%
分组项标题：弗朗索瓦·鲁芬
$276,789 交易量
1%
分组项标题：Marine Tondelier
$332,453 交易量
<1%
尼古拉斯·杜邦-奈昂
$1,105,427 交易量
<1%
洛朗·沃奎耶
$281,082 交易量
<1%
Fabien Roussel
$811,724 交易量
<1%
分组项标题：弗朗索瓦·阿塞勒诺
$1,073,724 交易量
<1%
瓦莱丽·佩雷斯
$919,906 交易量
<1%
伊丽莎白·博恩
$934,084 交易量
<1%
分组项标题：曼努埃尔·邦巴尔
$684,980 交易量
<1%
泽维尔·贝特朗
$419,145 交易量
<1%
奥利维耶·福尔
$639,244 交易量
<1%
Ségolène Royal
$821,435 交易量
<1%
Clémentine Autain
$1,254,736 交易量
<1%
米歇尔·巴尼耶
$742,514 交易量
<1%
弗朗索瓦·贝鲁
$906,843 交易量
<1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$746,270 交易量
<1%
克莱芒斯·盖特
$1,019,316 交易量
<1%
Carole Delga
$676,780 交易量
<1%
分组项标题：马蒂尔德·帕诺特
$999,930 交易量
<1%
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent municipal elections concluding March 22 boosted Édouard Philippe's profile after his reelection as Le Havre mayor—a precondition for his Horizons party presidential bid—positioning him as the primary center-right challenger to National Rally president Jordan Bardella in trader consensus. Latest Elabe polling from March 25-27 shows Bardella leading the first round at 38% versus Philippe's 25.5%, with fragmented left support for Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 12% preventing consolidation. Runoff scenarios remain tight, with Philippe edging Bardella 51.5-53% in head-to-heads, fueling the neck-and-neck market odds. Formal candidacies, legislative votes, or economic catalysts could tip the balance before the April 2027 first round.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$23,298,355结束日期
Apr 30, 2027市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent municipal elections concluding March 22 boosted Édouard Philippe's profile after his reelection as Le Havre mayor—a precondition for his Horizons party presidential bid—positioning him as the primary center-right challenger to National Rally president Jordan Bardella in trader consensus. Latest Elabe polling from March 25-27 shows Bardella leading the first round at 38% versus Philippe's 25.5%, with fragmented left support for Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 12% preventing consolidation. Runoff scenarios remain tight, with Philippe edging Bardella 51.5-53% in head-to-heads, fueling the neck-and-neck market odds. Formal candidacies, legislative votes, or economic catalysts could tip the balance before the April 2027 first round.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$23,298,355结束日期
Apr 30, 2027市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent municipal elections concluding March 22 boosted Édouard Philippe's profile after his reelection as Le Havre mayor—a precondition for his Horizons party presidential bid—positioning him as the primary center-right challenger to National Rally president Jordan Bardella in trader consensus. Latest Elabe polling from March 25-27 shows Bardella leading the first round at 38% versus Philippe's 25.5%, with fragmented left support for Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 12% preventing consolidation. Runoff scenarios remain tight, with Philippe edging Bardella 51.5-53% in head-to-heads, fueling the neck-and-neck market odds. Formal candidacies, legislative votes, or economic catalysts could tip the balance before the April 2027 first round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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