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选举·美国大选

纽约州民主党州长初选获胜者

Market icon
选举·美国大选

纽约州民主党州长初选获胜者

$45,697 交易量

Polymarket

$45,697 交易量

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凯西·霍楚尔

$36,632 交易量

95%

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安东尼奥·德尔加多

$9,066 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York. If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Kathy Hochul commands 94% trader consensus to win New York's Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting her strong incumbency advantage in the deep-blue state and the absence of any major challengers declaring in the past 30 days. Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado lingers at 2% amid no recent polling, endorsements, or campaign momentum to suggest a viable threat. Historical precedent shows New York Democratic governors rarely face serious primary tests, bolstering her position absent structural changes like term limits. Potential shifts could arise from late-entry heavyweights such as Attorney General Letitia James, a major scandal, or deteriorating approval ratings, though none have materialized recently; markets await formal announcements ahead of the June 2026 primary.

Incumbent Governor Kathy Hochul commands 94% trader consensus to win New York's Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting her strong incumbency advantage in the deep-blue state and the absence of any major challengers declaring in the past 30 days. Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado lingers at 2% amid no recent polling, endorsements, or campaign momentum to suggest a viable threat. Historical precedent shows New York Democratic governors rarely face serious primary tests, bolstering her position absent structural changes like term limits. Potential shifts could arise from late-entry heavyweights such as Attorney General Letitia James, a major scandal, or deteriorating approval ratings, though none have materialized recently; markets await formal announcements ahead of the June 2026 primary.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York. If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Kathy Hochul commands 94% trader consensus to win New York's Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting her strong incumbency advantage in the deep-blue state and the absence of any major challengers declaring in the past 30 days. Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado lingers at 2% amid no recent polling, endorsements, or campaign momentum to suggest a viable threat. Historical precedent shows New York Democratic governors rarely face serious primary tests, bolstering her position absent structural changes like term limits. Potential shifts could arise from late-entry heavyweights such as Attorney General Letitia James, a major scandal, or deteriorating approval ratings, though none have materialized recently; markets await formal announcements ahead of the June 2026 primary.

Incumbent Governor Kathy Hochul commands 94% trader consensus to win New York's Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting her strong incumbency advantage in the deep-blue state and the absence of any major challengers declaring in the past 30 days. Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado lingers at 2% amid no recent polling, endorsements, or campaign momentum to suggest a viable threat. Historical precedent shows New York Democratic governors rarely face serious primary tests, bolstering her position absent structural changes like term limits. Potential shifts could arise from late-entry heavyweights such as Attorney General Letitia James, a major scandal, or deteriorating approval ratings, though none have materialized recently; markets await formal announcements ahead of the June 2026 primary.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"纽约州民主党州长初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"凯西·霍楚尔"，概率为 95%，其次是"安东尼奥·德尔加多"，概率为 2%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 95¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 95%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"纽约州民主党州长初选获胜者"已产生 $45.7K 的总交易量（自Nov 14, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"纽约州民主党州长初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"纽约州民主党州长初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"凯西·霍楚尔"，概率为 95%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 95%。紧随其后的结果是"安东尼奥·德尔加多"，概率为 2%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"纽约州民主党州长初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。