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选举·美国大选

纽约州民主党州长初选获胜者

Market icon
选举·美国大选

纽约州民主党州长初选获胜者

$45,719 交易量

Polymarket

$45,719 交易量

Market icon

凯西·霍楚尔

$36,654 交易量

94%

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安东尼奥·德尔加多

$9,066 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York. If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul commands 93.5% trader consensus in the June 23 New York Democratic gubernatorial primary after Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado suspended his left-wing challenge on February 10, citing no viable path forward following Hochul's 85% endorsement win at the state Democratic convention. Recent Siena polling from late January shows her at 64% support amid record-high favorability, with only entrepreneur Jean Anglade as a minor declared rival. The April 6 filing deadline leaves room for late entrants, but incumbency advantages, key endorsements from figures like Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and strong primary polls underpin her position. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a high-profile challenger could still challenge this outlook.

Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul commands 93.5% trader consensus in the June 23 New York Democratic gubernatorial primary after Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado suspended his left-wing challenge on February 10, citing no viable path forward following Hochul's 85% endorsement win at the state Democratic convention. Recent Siena polling from late January shows her at 64% support amid record-high favorability, with only entrepreneur Jean Anglade as a minor declared rival. The April 6 filing deadline leaves room for late entrants, but incumbency advantages, key endorsements from figures like Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and strong primary polls underpin her position. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a high-profile challenger could still challenge this outlook.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York. If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul commands 93.5% trader consensus in the June 23 New York Democratic gubernatorial primary after Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado suspended his left-wing challenge on February 10, citing no viable path forward following Hochul's 85% endorsement win at the state Democratic convention. Recent Siena polling from late January shows her at 64% support amid record-high favorability, with only entrepreneur Jean Anglade as a minor declared rival. The April 6 filing deadline leaves room for late entrants, but incumbency advantages, key endorsements from figures like Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and strong primary polls underpin her position. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a high-profile challenger could still challenge this outlook.

Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul commands 93.5% trader consensus in the June 23 New York Democratic gubernatorial primary after Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado suspended his left-wing challenge on February 10, citing no viable path forward following Hochul's 85% endorsement win at the state Democratic convention. Recent Siena polling from late January shows her at 64% support amid record-high favorability, with only entrepreneur Jean Anglade as a minor declared rival. The April 6 filing deadline leaves room for late entrants, but incumbency advantages, key endorsements from figures like Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and strong primary polls underpin her position. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a high-profile challenger could still challenge this outlook.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"纽约州民主党州长初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"凯西·霍楚尔"，概率为 94%，其次是"安东尼奥·德尔加多"，概率为 2%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 94¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 94%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"纽约州民主党州长初选获胜者"已产生 $45.7K 的总交易量（自Nov 14, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"纽约州民主党州长初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"纽约州民主党州长初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"凯西·霍楚尔"，概率为 94%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 94%。紧随其后的结果是"安东尼奥·德尔加多"，概率为 2%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"纽约州民主党州长初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。