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政治·主要

内布拉斯加州州长共和党初选获胜者

Market icon
政治·主要

内布拉斯加州州长共和党初选获胜者

吉姆·皮伦 94%

查尔斯·赫布斯特 1.4%

加里·L·罗格 1.1%

约翰·沃尔兹 1.0%

Polymarket

$54,198 交易量

吉姆·皮伦 94%

查尔斯·赫布斯特 1.4%

加里·L·罗格 1.1%

约翰·沃尔兹 1.0%

Polymarket

$54,198 交易量

吉姆·皮伦

$8,890 交易量

94%

查尔斯·赫布斯特

$45,148 交易量

1%

加里·L·罗格

$0 交易量

1%

约翰·沃尔兹

$0 交易量

1%

Jacy Todd

$0 交易量

1%

萨尔·霍尔金

$160 交易量

<1%

谢拉·科思-福克恩

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Nebraska, scheduled to take place on May 12, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nebraska Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nebraska Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Jim Pillen's 93.5% trader consensus in the Nebraska Republican gubernatorial primary reflects his entrenched advantages as the sitting executive entering the May 2026 contest, with no major challengers emerging to threaten his path-to-victory. Recent polling averages and fundraising reports show him far ahead, building on his 2022 primary win over Charles Herbster by 15 points, amid strong party unity in the deep-red state. Sheila Korth-Focken and others trail distantly, lacking endorsements or momentum. While incumbency historically shields against primary upsets, scenarios like a high-profile rematch from Herbster, personal scandal, or dipping approval ratings on issues like property taxes could erode his lead before candidate filing deadlines.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Nebraska, scheduled to take place on May 12, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Nebraska Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nebraska Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$54,198
结束日期
May 12, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Nebraska, scheduled to take place on May 12, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nebraska Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nebraska Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Jim Pillen's 93.5% trader consensus in the Nebraska Republican gubernatorial primary reflects his entrenched advantages as the sitting executive entering the May 2026 contest, with no major challengers emerging to threaten his path-to-victory. Recent polling averages and fundraising reports show him far ahead, building on his 2022 primary win over Charles Herbster by 15 points, amid strong party unity in the deep-red state. Sheila Korth-Focken and others trail distantly, lacking endorsements or momentum. While incumbency historically shields against primary upsets, scenarios like a high-profile rematch from Herbster, personal scandal, or dipping approval ratings on issues like property taxes could erode his lead before candidate filing deadlines.

Incumbent Governor Jim Pillen's 93.5% trader consensus in the Nebraska Republican gubernatorial primary reflects his entrenched advantages as the sitting executive entering the May 2026 contest, with no major challengers emerging to threaten his path-to-victory. Recent polling averages and fundraising reports show him far ahead, building on his 2022 primary win over Charles Herbster by 15 points, amid strong party unity in the deep-red state. Sheila Korth-Focken and others trail distantly, lacking endorsements or momentum. While incumbency historically shields against primary upsets, scenarios like a high-profile rematch from Herbster, personal scandal, or dipping approval ratings on issues like property taxes could erode his lead before candidate filing deadlines.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"内布拉斯加州州长共和党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"吉姆·皮伦"，概率为 94%，其次是"查尔斯·赫布斯特"，概率为 1%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 94¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 94%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"内布拉斯加州州长共和党初选获胜者"已产生 $54.2K 的总交易量（自Dec 4, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"内布拉斯加州州长共和党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"内布拉斯加州州长共和党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"吉姆·皮伦"，概率为 94%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 94%。紧随其后的结果是"查尔斯·赫布斯特"，概率为 1%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"内布拉斯加州州长共和党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。