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选举·美国大选

密歇根州民主党参议院初选获胜者

Market icon
选举·美国大选

密歇根州民主党参议院初选获胜者

马洛瑞·麦克莫罗 54%

阿卜杜勒·埃尔-萨耶德 30%

海利·史蒂文斯 15%

萨拉·安东尼 1.2%

Polymarket

$380,016 交易量

马洛瑞·麦克莫罗 54%

阿卜杜勒·埃尔-萨耶德 30%

海利·史蒂文斯 15%

萨拉·安东尼 1.2%

Polymarket

$380,016 交易量

马洛瑞·麦克莫罗

$28,739 交易量

54%

阿卜杜勒·埃尔-萨耶德

$83,321 交易量

30%

海利·史蒂文斯

$20,312 交易量

15%

萨拉·安东尼

$14,440 交易量

1%

达娜·内塞尔

$15,679 交易量

<1%

拉希达·特莱布

$33,092 交易量

<1%

克里斯汀·麦克唐纳·里维特

$110,054 交易量

<1%

马特·萨尔

$56,963 交易量

<1%

安迪·莱文

$17,417 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Mallory McMorrow leads trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability in the Michigan Democratic Senate primary, driven by her March internal poll showing a 30% to 25% edge over Abdul El-Sayed, Sen. Elizabeth Warren's endorsement on March 18, and a volunteer surge collecting over 30,000 petition signatures by late March. El-Sayed holds 30.5% amid strong progressive support but faces backlash from a March 30 recording on Iran's supreme leader death, criticized as evasive. Rep. Haley Stevens trails at 14.5% despite a ModSquad endorsement, with lower favorables in recent surveys. Public polls depict a tight three-way race averaging mid-20s each, yet traders favor McMorrow's grassroots momentum ahead of the August 4 primary and proposed debates.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$380,016
结束日期
2026-08-04
市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Mallory McMorrow leads trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability in the Michigan Democratic Senate primary, driven by her March internal poll showing a 30% to 25% edge over Abdul El-Sayed, Sen. Elizabeth Warren's endorsement on March 18, and a volunteer surge collecting over 30,000 petition signatures by late March. El-Sayed holds 30.5% amid strong progressive support but faces backlash from a March 30 recording on Iran's supreme leader death, criticized as evasive. Rep. Haley Stevens trails at 14.5% despite a ModSquad endorsement, with lower favorables in recent surveys. Public polls depict a tight three-way race averaging mid-20s each, yet traders favor McMorrow's grassroots momentum ahead of the August 4 primary and proposed debates.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$380,016
结束日期
2026-08-04
市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"密歇根州民主党参议院初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"马洛瑞·麦克莫罗"，概率为 54%，其次是"阿卜杜勒·埃尔-萨耶德"，概率为 30%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 54¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 54%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"密歇根州民主党参议院初选获胜者"已产生 $380K 的总交易量（自Sep 15, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"密歇根州民主党参议院初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"密歇根州民主党参议院初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"马洛瑞·麦克莫罗"，概率为 54%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 54%。紧随其后的结果是"阿卜杜勒·埃尔-萨耶德"，概率为 30%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"密歇根州民主党参议院初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。