Trader consensus prices Democratic Party retention of Michigan's 11th congressional district House seat at 90.5%, driven by the district's D+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Rep. Haley Stevens' comfortable double-digit 2024 victory over Republican Nick Somberg, despite her February announcement seeking the open U.S. Senate seat and leaving the race vacant. No high-profile Republican challengers have emerged, bolstering the implied probability amid a quiet early cycle. Potential shifts could arise from a strong GOP recruit, bruising Democratic primary on August 4, national midterm dynamics favoring Republicans, scandals, or late polling surprises before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$10,862 交易量
$10,862 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
91%
共和党
7%
$10,862 交易量
$10,862 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,533 交易量
91%
共和党
$4,329 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party retention of Michigan's 11th congressional district House seat at 90.5%, driven by the district's D+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Rep. Haley Stevens' comfortable double-digit 2024 victory over Republican Nick Somberg, despite her February announcement seeking the open U.S. Senate seat and leaving the race vacant. No high-profile Republican challengers have emerged, bolstering the implied probability amid a quiet early cycle. Potential shifts could arise from a strong GOP recruit, bruising Democratic primary on August 4, national midterm dynamics favoring Republicans, scandals, or late polling surprises before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$10,862结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party retention of Michigan's 11th congressional district House seat at 90.5%, driven by the district's D+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Rep. Haley Stevens' comfortable double-digit 2024 victory over Republican Nick Somberg, despite her February announcement seeking the open U.S. Senate seat and leaving the race vacant. No high-profile Republican challengers have emerged, bolstering the implied probability amid a quiet early cycle. Potential shifts could arise from a strong GOP recruit, bruising Democratic primary on August 4, national midterm dynamics favoring Republicans, scandals, or late polling surprises before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,862结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic Party retention of Michigan's 11th congressional district House seat at 90.5%, driven by the district's D+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Rep. Haley Stevens' comfortable double-digit 2024 victory over Republican Nick Somberg, despite her February announcement seeking the open U.S. Senate seat and leaving the race vacant. No high-profile Republican challengers have emerged, bolstering the implied probability amid a quiet early cycle. Potential shifts could arise from a strong GOP recruit, bruising Democratic primary on August 4, national midterm dynamics favoring Republicans, scandals, or late polling surprises before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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