Maryland's 5th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17, remains a stronghold for Democrats following longtime Rep. Steny Hoyer's January retirement announcement, fueling trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic House election winner. The crowded June 23 Democratic primary features 17 candidates, including high-profile entrants like former Prince George's County Executive Rushern Baker—recently polling ahead—and Capitol Police officer Harry Dunn, backed by Nancy Pelosi, highlighting robust party competition without weakening general election prospects. A thin Republican primary field of three contenders underscores the lopsided dynamics in this historically safe Democratic seat, rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. Late-breaking scandals involving the Democratic nominee, low turnout, or a strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,102 交易量
93%
共和党
$743 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17, remains a stronghold for Democrats following longtime Rep. Steny Hoyer's January retirement announcement, fueling trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic House election winner. The crowded June 23 Democratic primary features 17 candidates, including high-profile entrants like former Prince George's County Executive Rushern Baker—recently polling ahead—and Capitol Police officer Harry Dunn, backed by Nancy Pelosi, highlighting robust party competition without weakening general election prospects. A thin Republican primary field of three contenders underscores the lopsided dynamics in this historically safe Democratic seat, rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. Late-breaking scandals involving the Democratic nominee, low turnout, or a strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$2,845结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17, remains a stronghold for Democrats following longtime Rep. Steny Hoyer's January retirement announcement, fueling trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic House election winner. The crowded June 23 Democratic primary features 17 candidates, including high-profile entrants like former Prince George's County Executive Rushern Baker—recently polling ahead—and Capitol Police officer Harry Dunn, backed by Nancy Pelosi, highlighting robust party competition without weakening general election prospects. A thin Republican primary field of three contenders underscores the lopsided dynamics in this historically safe Democratic seat, rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. Late-breaking scandals involving the Democratic nominee, low turnout, or a strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,845结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 5th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17, remains a stronghold for Democrats following longtime Rep. Steny Hoyer's January retirement announcement, fueling trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic House election winner. The crowded June 23 Democratic primary features 17 candidates, including high-profile entrants like former Prince George's County Executive Rushern Baker—recently polling ahead—and Capitol Police officer Harry Dunn, backed by Nancy Pelosi, highlighting robust party competition without weakening general election prospects. A thin Republican primary field of three contenders underscores the lopsided dynamics in this historically safe Democratic seat, rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. Late-breaking scandals involving the Democratic nominee, low turnout, or a strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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