Market icon
政治·市长

洛杉矶市长选举

Market icon
政治·市长

洛杉矶市长选举

卡伦·巴斯 42%

尼希亚·拉曼 37%

斯宾塞·普拉特 11%

黄睿 3.6%

Polymarket

$639,921 交易量

卡伦·巴斯 42%

尼希亚·拉曼 37%

斯宾塞·普拉特 11%

黄睿 3.6%

Polymarket

$639,921 交易量

Market icon

卡伦·巴斯

$21,295 交易量

42%

Market icon

尼希亚·拉曼

$3,566 交易量

37%

Market icon

斯宾塞·普拉特

$23,051 交易量

11%

Market icon

黄睿

$9,380 交易量

4%

Market icon

亚当·米勒

$81,285 交易量

1%

Market icon

里克·卡鲁索

$423,662 交易量

1%

Market icon

吉娜·维奥拉

$29,913 交易量

1%

Market icon

阿萨德·阿尔纳贾尔

$27,710 交易量

1%

Market icon

奥斯汀·布特纳

$4,929 交易量

<1%

Market icon

莫妮卡·罗德里格斯

$2,240 交易量

<1%

Market icon

林赛·霍瓦斯

$14,484 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for the June 2 Los Angeles mayoral primary, reflecting a recent LA Times/Berkeley IGS poll showing her at 25% among likely voters but with 56% unfavorability amid criticism over homelessness, city services, and the Palisades Fire response. Challenger Nithya Raman, a progressive City Councilmember and former Bass ally, trails at 17% with positive favorables (+3 net), gaining traction through promises on housing and transit while capitalizing on undecided voters (26%). Reality TV figure Spencer Pratt sits third at 14% on anti-establishment buzz. The race stays tight due to Bass's vulnerabilities and Raman's momentum; separation could come from Democratic Socialists of America endorsements, debates, or shifting polls in the next two months.

Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for the June 2 Los Angeles mayoral primary, reflecting a recent LA Times/Berkeley IGS poll showing her at 25% among likely voters but with 56% unfavorability amid criticism over homelessness, city services, and the Palisades Fire response. Challenger Nithya Raman, a progressive City Councilmember and former Bass ally, trails at 17% with positive favorables (+3 net), gaining traction through promises on housing and transit while capitalizing on undecided voters (26%). Reality TV figure Spencer Pratt sits third at 14% on anti-establishment buzz. The race stays tight due to Bass's vulnerabilities and Raman's momentum; separation could come from Democratic Socialists of America endorsements, debates, or shifting polls in the next two months.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for the June 2 Los Angeles mayoral primary, reflecting a recent LA Times/Berkeley IGS poll showing her at 25% among likely voters but with 56% unfavorability amid criticism over homelessness, city services, and the Palisades Fire response. Challenger Nithya Raman, a progressive City Councilmember and former Bass ally, trails at 17% with positive favorables (+3 net), gaining traction through promises on housing and transit while capitalizing on undecided voters (26%). Reality TV figure Spencer Pratt sits third at 14% on anti-establishment buzz. The race stays tight due to Bass's vulnerabilities and Raman's momentum; separation could come from Democratic Socialists of America endorsements, debates, or shifting polls in the next two months.

Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for the June 2 Los Angeles mayoral primary, reflecting a recent LA Times/Berkeley IGS poll showing her at 25% among likely voters but with 56% unfavorability amid criticism over homelessness, city services, and the Palisades Fire response. Challenger Nithya Raman, a progressive City Councilmember and former Bass ally, trails at 17% with positive favorables (+3 net), gaining traction through promises on housing and transit while capitalizing on undecided voters (26%). Reality TV figure Spencer Pratt sits third at 14% on anti-establishment buzz. The race stays tight due to Bass's vulnerabilities and Raman's momentum; separation could come from Democratic Socialists of America endorsements, debates, or shifting polls in the next two months.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"洛杉矶市长选举"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"卡伦·巴斯"，概率为 42%，其次是"尼希亚·拉曼"，概率为 37%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 42¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 42%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"洛杉矶市长选举"已产生 $639.9K 的总交易量（自Oct 9, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"洛杉矶市长选举"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"洛杉矶市长选举"的当前领先者是"卡伦·巴斯"，概率为 42%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 42%。紧随其后的结果是"尼希亚·拉曼"，概率为 37%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"洛杉矶市长选举"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。